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LTC Stephen F.
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Edited >1 y ago
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Thank you, my friend LTC Greg Henning for posting an interesting if perhaps short-sighted perspective from RAND Corp.
BLUF a sizable minority of ethnic Russians live as second class citizens in the Baltic States. Many could be Russia's eyes and ears in the event of a confrontation. Granted Russians tend to be concentrated in various areas of the Baltic States based on their ethnicity.

1st Russia has sufficient access to the Baltic already through St Petersburg and their facilities at Kaliningrad [map]
2nd Russia has sufficient force that if push-came-to-shove they would simply overrun a corridor through a Baltic State to the Baltic Sea. They are very familiar with the Baltic States.
3rd sizable minorities in each of the Baltic states are ethnic Russian 0 by design. the USSR relocated Russians to Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Background from Stratfor
"An alien passport may sound like a joke, but it is a complicated fact of live for ethnic Russians in this [Estonia] Baltic republic, and in a time of growing tension between Estonia and its much larger neighbor. When Estonia gained independence, ethnic Estonians were given citizenship in the new state. But those ethnic Russians now living on the wrong side of the border—32 percent of all the country’s residents in 1992—found themselves in a political and geographical gray zone. The new government forbade dual citizenship, which forced ethnic Russians to make a difficult choice: either get a Russian passport, making their legal status in the country uncertain, an option few have chosen, or apply for Estonian citizenship. In the meantime, they were classified as stateless and issued gray alien passports."

I could go on but I am getting tired.

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SSG Environmental Specialist
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When I was in Kandahar, we had troops from the Republic of Georgia, and ever since they lost land to the Russians back in I think 2008 they have been training with the U.S. in Afghanistan for one simple reason. If the Russians ever come back, they said we can't beat them but will will send so many Russians home in body bags they will finally just leave.
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MAJ Ken Landgren
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It seems infeasible to me.
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