Posted on Feb 25, 2020
US military dependent in South Korea diagnosed with coronavirus, triggering precautions
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Considering Our Footprint, Knew It Would Happen Eventually.
US military dependent in South Korea diagnosed with coronavirus, triggering precautions
Posted from abcnews.go.com
South Korea
Dependents
Military Family
Medical
Health
Posted >1 y ago
Responses: 7
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I have compassion for the infected but there have been some serious errors made.
The broken containment procedures and infected patients allowed back to the US are two.
It may play well in a Hollywood thriller but the transport of highly contagious people is a major operation and is the least desired outcome of any isolation protocols.
The unofficial percentage of deaths of those infected is currently hovering around 2% worldwide in countries that have modern hospitalization. In countries with less developed medical systems it has not been assessed as in many cases it cannot even be determined who is infected. Initial fatalities in China, before their government got the ball rolling was above 60%.
One plus we have on our side is that normal containment and isolation methods are effective. Another is it appears to be only passed by physical contact, not being airborne.
That being said if it spreads in the US, with our interstate/interlinked cities, we will be fortunate to contain it at a 2% death rate. That figure will be totaled at 7 million US Citizens, mainly in the infected cities.
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Here is a link which may or may not reflect current stats on the disease, due to the reporting issues I mentioned earlier.
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https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html?fbclid=IwAR2eZv0KVZ8nLRof6RTkwwu6xUFIySUCWppy_LICSekDyOwWyl3k--lL9oI#/bda7594740fd [login to see] 7b48e9ecf6
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1SG John Faircloth - PO1 H Gene Lawrence - PO1 Richard Nyberg - 1SG Steven Imerman - PO3 Lynn Spalding - SGT David A. 'Cowboy' Groth - SSG Donald H "Don" Bates - PO1 William "Chip" Nagel - Lt Col John (Jack) Christensen - Lt Col Charlie Brown - SGT (Join to see) - SSgt Joseph Baptist - MAJ Byron Oyler - SSgt Joseph Baptist - SSgt Terry P. - PO1 Richard Nyberg - 1SG Steven Imerman - SSG Donald H "Don" Bates - Sgt Albert Castro - PO3 Bob McCord -
The broken containment procedures and infected patients allowed back to the US are two.
It may play well in a Hollywood thriller but the transport of highly contagious people is a major operation and is the least desired outcome of any isolation protocols.
The unofficial percentage of deaths of those infected is currently hovering around 2% worldwide in countries that have modern hospitalization. In countries with less developed medical systems it has not been assessed as in many cases it cannot even be determined who is infected. Initial fatalities in China, before their government got the ball rolling was above 60%.
One plus we have on our side is that normal containment and isolation methods are effective. Another is it appears to be only passed by physical contact, not being airborne.
That being said if it spreads in the US, with our interstate/interlinked cities, we will be fortunate to contain it at a 2% death rate. That figure will be totaled at 7 million US Citizens, mainly in the infected cities.
.
.
Here is a link which may or may not reflect current stats on the disease, due to the reporting issues I mentioned earlier.
.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html?fbclid=IwAR2eZv0KVZ8nLRof6RTkwwu6xUFIySUCWppy_LICSekDyOwWyl3k--lL9oI#/bda7594740fd [login to see] 7b48e9ecf6
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.
1SG John Faircloth - PO1 H Gene Lawrence - PO1 Richard Nyberg - 1SG Steven Imerman - PO3 Lynn Spalding - SGT David A. 'Cowboy' Groth - SSG Donald H "Don" Bates - PO1 William "Chip" Nagel - Lt Col John (Jack) Christensen - Lt Col Charlie Brown - SGT (Join to see) - SSgt Joseph Baptist - MAJ Byron Oyler - SSgt Joseph Baptist - SSgt Terry P. - PO1 Richard Nyberg - 1SG Steven Imerman - SSG Donald H "Don" Bates - Sgt Albert Castro - PO3 Bob McCord -
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SFC Ralph E Kelley
SSgt Joseph Baptist - Yes the 2% death rate mentioned is based on the infected. - that was implied. I have corrected the sentence outlining that to read:
"The unofficial percentage of deaths of those infected is currently hovering around 2% worldwide in countries that have modern hospitalization."
Remember the death rate present before China's Medical System realized the problem is now known to be over 60%.
My Determination (opinion only) of the Coronavirus Timeline in China:
After Day Zero, by the 9th day it was clear there was a problem but they did not know what was causing it, due to the cycle of 'normal' flu that comes every winter.
After Day 14 (2 weeks), once the Coronavirus was identified, the death rate was above 60% of the infected.
At the end of Day 21, once strict containment and isolation protocols were in place, the previously infected population (Group A), which had been more than 5 days with the illness, continued at the +60% death rate. The death rate of 'newly' infected (Group A) was already dropping toward 2% as effective sanitation procedures were adopted.
By day 24, the last of Group A infected had died. The Group A death rate was roughly 67% of those infected. Of those in Group A that survived, another 24% of the whole were still ill and required care. Only about 9% of Group A were considered well enough to considered recovered.
On Day 30 it was determined that the deceased rate for Group B that received proper care under the protocols was down to 2%, but by this time the Coronavirus had made its way out of China.
There are indications that in the first week several infected people had traveled within China outside of tarty containment ares. That allowed the disease to spread further within then across China's borders. There are also indications that donor organs taken from infected cadavers were one source of the spread - to me this seems a stretch.
You have to dig for the information but it is there. I think this, though there mayhap be some errors in the timeline, is a good approximation of the events.
Welcome to the New World of Rapid Transit.
"The unofficial percentage of deaths of those infected is currently hovering around 2% worldwide in countries that have modern hospitalization."
Remember the death rate present before China's Medical System realized the problem is now known to be over 60%.
My Determination (opinion only) of the Coronavirus Timeline in China:
After Day Zero, by the 9th day it was clear there was a problem but they did not know what was causing it, due to the cycle of 'normal' flu that comes every winter.
After Day 14 (2 weeks), once the Coronavirus was identified, the death rate was above 60% of the infected.
At the end of Day 21, once strict containment and isolation protocols were in place, the previously infected population (Group A), which had been more than 5 days with the illness, continued at the +60% death rate. The death rate of 'newly' infected (Group A) was already dropping toward 2% as effective sanitation procedures were adopted.
By day 24, the last of Group A infected had died. The Group A death rate was roughly 67% of those infected. Of those in Group A that survived, another 24% of the whole were still ill and required care. Only about 9% of Group A were considered well enough to considered recovered.
On Day 30 it was determined that the deceased rate for Group B that received proper care under the protocols was down to 2%, but by this time the Coronavirus had made its way out of China.
There are indications that in the first week several infected people had traveled within China outside of tarty containment ares. That allowed the disease to spread further within then across China's borders. There are also indications that donor organs taken from infected cadavers were one source of the spread - to me this seems a stretch.
You have to dig for the information but it is there. I think this, though there mayhap be some errors in the timeline, is a good approximation of the events.
Welcome to the New World of Rapid Transit.
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Hopefully she will recover and that the virus doesn't spread further. I suspect this means quarantine for a number of people
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