Posted on Oct 22, 2014
MAJ Deputy Director, Combat Casualty Care Research Program
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Have you seen the most recent climate analysis?

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/
Posted in these groups: Science logo ScienceAnalysis AnalysisArctic ice nasa goddard flickr Climate Change
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Responses: 86
COL Randall C.
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Edited 10 y ago
MAJ (Join to see), my respect for you just dropped a notch. If you insist on bringing back up another topic that should die a horrible death like the ones about LTs saluting, the least you can do is be civil. If you want to debate theories, possible outcomes and such, by all means. Your comment to SGT Richard H. was out of line and typical of these type of discussions on the open internet.

I would expect better from a fellow professional soldier.

BTW, anything that follows the words "with all due respect" usually isn't.
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MAJ Deputy Director, Combat Casualty Care Research Program
MAJ (Join to see)
10 y
COL Randall C. Sir, apologies if my comments were out of line. With that said, I have no problem with telling people who do not see a very real problem that they need to look up. We are talking about something that will change life on this planet, so I have a hard time staying PC.
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COL Randall C.
COL Randall C.
10 y
MAJ (Join to see), fully understand that you're passionate about your view. I mentioned in another thread on this topic, that attacking someone else's position is fair game ("SGT Hanner, that view is scientific nonsense - as can be seen by ......"), but attacking someone's person ("You must be smoking pot/be a moron/don't have a thought and just spout party line/etc. if you believe that") is not.

As I said, I would expect that, although passionate about our view, we keep debating the merits of the position we hold, and not the merits of the individual that holds that position.
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SSG General Services Technician And State Vehicle Inspector
SSG (Join to see)
10 y
COL Randall C., well said, sir. Civility and adult language goes a lot further than name calling and insults.
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Cpl Michael Strickler
Cpl Michael Strickler
10 y
MAJ (Join to see), I voted you up out of respect for apologizing for your actions. Too often those types of comments will devolve into more and more harsh attacks. Thank you for acknowledging you mistake.
COL Randall C., thank you as well for standing up for the standards of decorum we should all adhere to in public debate and communication; regardless of topic and feelings.
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Col Joseph Lenertz
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"I want to pause here and talk about this notion of consensus, and the rise of what has been called consensus science. I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you're being had. 
"Let's be clear: The work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus.
"There is no such thing as consensus science. If it's consensus, it isn't science. If it's science, it isn't consensus. Period. "I would remind you to notice where the claim of consensus is invoked. Consensus is invoked only in situations where the science is not solid enough. Nobody says the consensus of scientists agrees that E=mc2. Nobody says the consensus is that the sun is 93 million miles away. It would never occur to anyone to speak that way. ."
~ Michael Crichton
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Cpl Mark McMiller
Cpl Mark McMiller
10 y
I doubt anyone could have said it better, Col. Lenertz. And it's even worse when those within the consensus are caught falsifying the data to make it appear to be the opposite of what it actually is. Really, if you've been paying attention, the scientists who pushed global warming got caught ignoring historical weather data and loading their computer program that showed the global warming trend with data they made up. The historical data actually reflects that the planet has been cooling slightly since 1932.
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Cpl Mark McMiller
Cpl Mark McMiller
10 y
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SPC Safety Technician
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>1 y
Col Joseph Lenertz Consensus is important in science, sir. Though there is an obvious lag time between the expert that makes a new discovery that revolutionizes a theory, and the widespread acceptance of that new theory among experts, this does not make the value of the older model completely irrelevant. Nor should we expect all scientists everywhere to instantly accept new data and associated theories. They must themselves investigate. This is how the consensus is built, and how poor argument or bad research is found out.

I understand that you're not against the peer-review method itself. But the way you worded your response, it seems that you would trust each individual to take whatever facts they like, and should welcome others openly denying a scientific consensus. This is counter-productive to what I believe your aims are: Each person taking all theories with skepticism and assessing all evidence honestly.

Nothing should be trusted outright, nor should one resist change simply because it is change. However, the fact that models change over time does not mean that a consensus among scientists is somehow a failure. This would be interpreted by many as a failure of the scientific method, which it certainly is not.
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Col Joseph Lenertz
Col Joseph Lenertz
>1 y
Consensus is important, in politics and policy. Science only requires a theory that can be tested in the real world, and then validated (repeatable results) by a peer without prior knowledge of the result. I like your position on peer-review and skepticism. But Galileo was right, and it didn't matter that the rest of his peers at the time (more than 97%) professed to believe the sun revolved around the earth. As to models...we can model a spring-mass-damper system or a RCI circuit or heat transfer with a 2nd order linear differential equation, or we can model Earth's temperature changes using computer simulations involving very large chunks of air masses. Both attempt to represent reality. Neither pose a scientific theory.
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SGT Richard H.
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Edited 10 y ago
Dansgaard temperature2
Sir, the problem with most global warming theory is that it's based on "temperatures on record". Temperature records have only been keep for about 130 years, which in the grand scheme of the earth is tiny. For every scientist saying that global warming is a new thing there's another one saying that this is just another cycle out of thousands of years of cycles. If you're old enough, you'll probably recall that the scientific craze of the early-mid 70's was that we were spiraling into another ice age, and it was based on basically the same size snapshot as the current warming theory is. Below is a graphic showing what I'm talking about. There are literally hundreds of them out there to support both sides of the debate, but I picked this one because it's pretty easy to read at a glance and matches what I've seen from scores of sites. I'm not necessarily saying that it's definitive, but then neither is most of the climate science out there.
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SGT James Hastings
SGT James Hastings
10 y
I totally agree with the Sgt above. I just saw an article indicating that ice floes were increasing in size. C02 is supposed to be the main problem and that is what trees take in to return Oxygen to us so we can breathe. If we significantly reduced the amount of C02 wouldn't a lot of trees die?
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CW5 Desk Officer
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10 y
And when we have a freezing cold winter, with lots of snow and ice, the "experts" say that's due to global warming as well. They'll say that you can't take a few months as proof of anything. When it's the other way around, however, it's the end of the world. Oh my.
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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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10 y
PO2 Ed C. Yes and they like to insult people whose whole career has been involved with weather and climate. lol
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SSG Trevor S.
SSG Trevor S.
10 y
Voted down for the reasons covered by LTC (P) Randall Cudworth.
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Global warming - ostriches in the sand while the earth dies.
Capt Richard I P.
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Ostriches don't bury their heads in the sand.
http://www.ostriches.org/factor.html
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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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SGT Richard H.
SGT Richard H.
10 y
Sadly, I can only give one thumbs up per post.
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SPC Senior Analyst
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10 y
Yes, but that fiction is just as humorous as the fiction of man made global warming. So, at least the title of the thread is consistent in its wrongness.
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MAJ J5 Strategic Plans And Training Officer
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Several global warming years later after titanic
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SSG Program Control Manager
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Global Warming is a real concern and we can mitigate some of the damage, it's far to late to stop it. That wasn't an option though, so I selected the closest response.
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MAJ J5 Strategic Plans And Training Officer
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SSG Program Control Manager
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Not sure what this guy I've never heard of has to do with anything, the link claims he's somehow the greatest philosopher in American history... important perhaps, however it seems they are trying to make him more important than people such as Benjamin Franklin, Thomas Jefferson, John Dewey, Henry David Thoreau or even Noam Chomsky.

That said, I'm inclined to listen to Climate Scientists when it comes to climate change... not Philosophers, politicians or people on the payroll of the Oil Industry.
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SN Kyle Carpenter
SN Kyle Carpenter
10 y
Wait are you saying you listen people who are considered experts in their field?
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SSG Program Control Manager
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10 y
As a general rule, when my engine starts making strange noises I go to a mechanic to identify the problem, if my back is hurting I go see a Chiropractor... even though my Dentist may believe Chiropractors are a waste of time. When it comes to Climate Science I want to know what Climate Scientists believe. Over 90% of them are convinced that man is the primary force behind global climate change and that we need to take steps to reduce the amount of carbon we are putting in the atmosphere. Given the impact that climate change will have on our children, I would expect us to leap into action even if half the climate scientists were convinced we were the cause of global climate change.
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PO3 Out Patient Corpsman
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It is this opinion of scientific matters, that by one instance a whole study is invalidated, that brings those with motives of subterfuge to their goals. An oversimplification of the matter of global warming does not disprove it but rather illustrates the increased changes to the globe as a whole. Warmer weather creates higher levels of moisture in the air which moves slower, this in turn leads to cold air becoming stagnant and when snow does come there is greater amounts of it. It can be confusing to see such abundance of cold weather, but short periods of cold do not over shadow an universal increase of temperatures. If an opinion that one day of cold means there is no global change then it would follow the same individual must believe that they never need to eat again for immediately after breakfast they are not hungry.
Furthermore, it the argument is made that with record cold disproves global warming, then how is it not proven by record heat the other half of the year? The past 3 years have had every state in the Union break one summer month's record high. Water shortages have increased and irrigation has been diminishing its impact.
Trends are made from greater than one data point, and when one disagrees with the overall hypothesis this is what makes it based in reality. Be aware of opinion overshadowing fact and rhetoric being held as truth.
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MAJ J5 Strategic Plans And Training Officer
MAJ (Join to see)
10 y
Reason. Also fiction is that "healthy" or the modern consideration of drinking water has never been as abundant as claimed. Modern water is treated and population growth has required more treatment and costs have increased. The price of water is political. I know because water is my business (day job).
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PO3 Out Patient Corpsman
PO3 (Join to see)
10 y
I would refute your analogy as they are not the same. Prices can completely be political, but that does not change the science and observations made by several independent scientific sources.
Though, if we want to discuss the possibility that global warming is nothing more than a financial play (that solar panel sellers need a hook and Al Gore gets paid by the slideshow) then it would go to show that the argument against climate change is invalid. The statement that carbon build up is causing climate change leads to the connection to humanity's use of hydrocarbon fuels. So if the argument of yes/no to validity is financial that means green energy is going against the oil industry; who has the higher resources, the biggest political influence (one in campaign contributions and direct subsidies from Congress) and the most to lose from a change in energy use.
Which seems more logical, that 97% of scientists agree that global climate change is real or that the greatest profiteers will hire enough individuals to cast doubt?
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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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10 y
I love it how people refute using basic ideas that they neither understand or can project for. Meteorologist Larry Olson 35 years experience.
Not talking points. Oh by the way, regarding climate vs weather,,, stopping talking out your butt,,,,k
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PO2 Todd Voge
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So, while I don't have time to find a good Meme, I do have a thought. I remember back in the 70's when I was in grade school how we were so worried we were heading for an ice age. Global Cooling. They were going to seed the clouds with ash to keep the heat in. 15 years later, the pendulum went the other way.

Now "they" use "Global Climate Change" instead. WTH??? Yes, the global climate DOES change! It has to do more with volcano's and sunspots than what we do.

It's all a crock to get more money from us.
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MAJ Senior Observer   Controller/Trainer
MAJ (Join to see)
10 y
Yes! I remember being taught all about how the corn belt was going to be pushed completely south of the Minnesota border, and we were going to have permafrost in the iron range!
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MAJ Senior Observer   Controller/Trainer
MAJ (Join to see)
10 y
SGT Scruggs, wipe the Kool-Aid smile off of your face! ;-)
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SPC Greg Burnett
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On the idea of Anthropogenic Climate Change (ACC), I really don't care if there is climate change or not. More to follow on this.
But, I do not believe that there is any effect that man is having on it for a number of reasons.
1. The idea of science is to have a discussion on the subject at hand; shutting down people that don't agree with you by calling them stupid or not capable of understanding science is just plain not consistent with scientific debate. The whole idea of calling us "deniers" came about to connect us to holocaust deniers and put the idea into low information persons inclined to buy into ACC that we support the deaths of millions. Plain and simple, it is to compare us to Nazis and convince people we want a new holocaust carried out by climate change. The vitriolic hatred man-made global warming/climate change believers show towards skeptics is astounding.
2. Everything they cry about always starts out as "unprecedented" and then turns out to be precedented.
3. They started out with global cooling. When that didn't pan out they changed to global warming. Supporters didn't have a problem with the 180 degree switch. When the global warming thing didn't happen like they screamed and hollered it would, they switched to a Cover Your Ass position of "anything and everything that might or could happen is caused by man made CO2". They really seem to be saying "even though we have been completely wrong up to now, that is proof we are correct now". WTF? Still, supporters have no problem with that.
4. When someone skeptical points out that a winter or summer was cooler than normal, the true believers on TV laugh at them and call them stupid and point out that one season or even a year is not sufficient to disprove ACC, BUT... get one EF-5 tornado that hits a metro area or an extra hurricane and the same people are all over TV pointing out how that is proof of climate change.
5. Cherry picking. Skeptics are accused of cherry picking data, however believers have recently begun to deny that there was ever a Little Ice Age starting in the middle ages. 700 years of documented, historical fact and they just plain say it didn't happen. Of course, the temp changes that appear to have accompanied the Little Ice Age refute their claims that man made CO2 is the only possible way for temp to change so rapidly. For this to be true, there would have had to have been an associated reduction in man made CO2 levels at the beginning of the Little Ice Age and of course there wasn't.

Why don't I care? Same people worried about ACC are the ones that are now worried about world overpopulation. Attempts to slow population growth haven't worked anywhere, the only way we're gonna reduce it would be to commence with a depopulation campaign, by which I mean actually killing off "unwanted" or "undesirable" people.
This Earth can sustain A LOT more people than it has (I'd prefer smaller populations too, but..) and global warming will likely result in increased food production, so...
Who gives a rat's ass?
You know, unless you want to participate in eradication attempts.
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SGT Richard H.
SGT Richard H.
10 y
Well stated!
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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
SSgt (Join to see)
10 y
I agree. the political behind the movement dogmas.
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SPC Greg Burnett
SPC Greg Burnett
10 y
Do NOT encourage me gents. Do not encourage me. ;-)
And thanks.
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CW5 Desk Officer
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I gotta say I agree with SGT Richard H. on this topic, and no, I don't smoke dope or have my head in the sand. For all the scientists who cry the sky is falling on global warming, there are others who say poppycock. I could post links, but they all say the same thing: what I just said.
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SSG Chemical Biological Radiological and Nuclear Operations Specialist
SSG (Join to see)
10 y
Chief,
BullS%^&. There is no factual basis for your statement.

Just one of many facts:
"The scientists examined 4,014 abstracts on climate change and found 97.2 percent of the papers assumed humans play a role in global warming (ClimateWire, May 16, 2013)."

Thats right 97.2 percent of peer reviewed papers! Getting that level of agreement is like 11 out of 12 2LTs correctly pointing north!

But it goes further. Seriously for every scientist is that says that there is not human influenced global climate change there are 39 who say there is.

Links:
http://www.wunderground.com/resources/climate/928.asp?MR=1

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-determine-the-scientific-consensus-on-global-warming/

Here is the simple Google Search:
https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=scientific%20opinion%20on%20global%20warming

There is this 31,000 scientists disagree thing, which was the result of a mail in card with a 'check this box if you are a scientist'.

Science is the process of proving yourself wrong and being happy. about it. I invite you to post any link that claims that Climate change is not real or not caused by humans.

I have no idea how otherwise reasonable people can't wrap their head around this issue.
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