Posted on Feb 27, 2018
Do you think Donald Trump is guaranteed to be the Republican Nominee in 2020?
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https://www.quora.com/Has-an-incumbent-president-ever-lost-in-a-primary-election
Whether one likes or Dislikes President Trump, he is definitely a polarizing figure. I was reading about him appointing Brad Parscale to start prep work for his 2020 campaign, and thought about whether that may be premature.
With Donald Trump already starting to think about his 2020 campaign, this is a valid question even if it is as previously stated, premature.
Whether one likes or Dislikes President Trump, he is definitely a polarizing figure. I was reading about him appointing Brad Parscale to start prep work for his 2020 campaign, and thought about whether that may be premature.
With Donald Trump already starting to think about his 2020 campaign, this is a valid question even if it is as previously stated, premature.
Elections
Republicans
Office of the President (POTUS)
Posted 7 y ago
Responses: 32
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PO3 Steven Sherrill, as Luther Whitney (Clint Eastwood) stated to Detective Seth Frank (Ed Harris) in the movie Absolute Power, "Tomorrow is promised to no one." I've learned that many verses in the Bible are similar in theme, but the actual quote is Walter Payton's, the now deceased Chicago Bears halfback.
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If he is still in office, Republicans will hold their nose and nominate him. I suspect they would find another 4 years of Trump is preferable to splitting the party.
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With every day that passes I find fewer and fewer guarantees in this life. So no, it certainly isn't guaranteed.
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Susan Foster
I wouldn't place any bets on what I'll be doing in 3 years, much less him. We can just hope we are all still above ground! LOL
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I think he will be the nominee in 2020, but at the same time, I think the Russia investigation and whatever else events that may happen in the next two years could possibly derail him.
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SSG (Join to see)
Don’t be surprised when some of the indictments begin to go to trial and more details of the investigation are released. My guess is we’ll know how bad it is if VP Pence decides to run on his own which will ultimately destroy President Trump and the GOP
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This may be the first time a political party tries to primary their incumbent but I don't have any evidence to support that so they may not. I will say that if the elections were being held in a few months I believe the republican party would try hard to get him out because his chances of winning would be incredibly low at the moment, that may turn around in a couple years though who knows? He may also just decide not to run. Who's to say he doesn't take the money and run with it, maybe parlay his presidency into another business endeavor. Its interesting because literally no one can guess what he'll do.
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I think that both sides are probably going to do everything in their power to try and unseat him.
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MSG Stan Hutchison
MSG Joseph Cristofaro - 80%? Maybe with his base, or even with all Republicans (which I doubt). Certainly not of all voters.
Even Fox has him only at 43% approval overall.
http://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/index.html
Even Fox has him only at 43% approval overall.
http://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/index.html
See all Fox News Official Polls. Including: President Donald Trump's Approval Rating, President Obama's Approval Rating, President Bush's Approval Rating, and Approval Ratings for Congress.
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MSG Stan Hutchison
MSG Joseph Cristofaro - I do agree about polls,,, I can make a poll show what I want it to,,,, and that is what most of them do.
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Too early to tell. He says a lot of dumb stuff and has a lot of non-establishment politicians working for him. There's a lot of time for major screw ups. However, if he can get a bipartisian "gun" bill done, DACA resolved, and more jobs / more money in our pockets, he may be tough to beat.
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PO1 Don Gulizia
MSG Joseph Cristofaro - According to his tweet: "I will be strongly pushing Comprehensive Background Checks with an emphasis on Mental Health. Raise age to 21 and end sale of Bump Stocks!" If he sticks with that, it may happen. You're right, if he sticks with his proposal for DACA, that would earn a lot of points. My 401K is up (biggly)and I just rec'd a nice raise...okay, very nice raise. His main problem will be navagating the political pitfalls. Even if he stumbles, if the dems try to push a far left candidate (or worse, another Hillary), he might win the whole thing again.
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MCPO Roger Collins
Good summary, PO1 Don Gulizia. The problem, at this point, is the Democrats have nothing except their bile and hate to run against Trump. Can you imagine saying we are going to stop this raging economy and go back to the tepid sub 2% GDP we saw for eight years.
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PO1 Don Gulizia
MCPO Roger Collins - It's pretty bad when WaPo has (on it's front page) that dems will have to change their attacks because the economy is so good.
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1. There is no "STARTING TO THINK" about his campaign. He already filed for it and hasn't stopped campaigning since.
2. IF he is still in office, I think he'll be the Republican nominee. The IF is in relation to all of the investigations that are still ongoing that he could get caught up in.
2. IF he is still in office, I think he'll be the Republican nominee. The IF is in relation to all of the investigations that are still ongoing that he could get caught up in.
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SSG Jessica Bautista
Makes you wonder how much of those campaign funds ended up going to legal defense...
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MAJ Bryan Zeski
MSG Joseph Cristofaro - If you have excess campaign funds... and you have a new campaigning starting pretty much right away (which POTUS did, because he started his 2020 campaign almost instantly), wouldn't it make sense to put that campaign money into the next campaign?
I mean, I'm not a budget analyst or anything... but....
I mean, I'm not a budget analyst or anything... but....
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Food for thought:
https://www.npr.org/sections/politicaljunkie/2009/07/a_president_denied_renominatio.html
We must always remember the Incumbent and Defenders advantage.
Anyone who challenges President Trump must accomplish 2 things while he only has to accomplish 1. Specifically, they must prove they a viable candidate (capable of winning the election perceptually), and that they are better than the person who has already done that in reality.
That said, the President is 71 years old, has three years left in current term, and the average life-expectancy for his demographic is about 77~.
https://www.npr.org/sections/politicaljunkie/2009/07/a_president_denied_renominatio.html
We must always remember the Incumbent and Defenders advantage.
Anyone who challenges President Trump must accomplish 2 things while he only has to accomplish 1. Specifically, they must prove they a viable candidate (capable of winning the election perceptually), and that they are better than the person who has already done that in reality.
That said, the President is 71 years old, has three years left in current term, and the average life-expectancy for his demographic is about 77~.
When Has A President Been Denied His Party's Nomination?
Which presidents were denied the nomination of their party for another term?
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