Posted on Jul 23, 2014
Colder winter and cooler summer, the global warming theory sounds like junk. What do you think?
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To look at all of the things we put into the ground, air, and water and say you do not believe that human activity can cause climate change would be the same thing as saying that you do not believe that what you put into your body can effect your overall health.
I am completely confused as to why people are so against conservation efforts. If climate change is bunk, conservation efforts that get people thinking about how they use our resources aren't a bad thing. If climate change is real and we treat it like it isn't, we all die. The only people advantaged by ignoring climate science are corporations fighting regulations.
I am completely confused as to why people are so against conservation efforts. If climate change is bunk, conservation efforts that get people thinking about how they use our resources aren't a bad thing. If climate change is real and we treat it like it isn't, we all die. The only people advantaged by ignoring climate science are corporations fighting regulations.
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SGT Jason Anderson
Based upon data charted through many samples, that allow for and follow the earth natural cycles, there is a dramatic uptick beginning near the 17/1800's and growing as it nears present day. How you could not get man as the driver is beyond me...
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SGT Jason Anderson
I don't have a lot of time, so I'll be brief.
The uptick we are in now went up very, very fast.
I don't day they are infallible because they are a majority. I say the majority of naysayers are more fallible due to ignorance of proof, and thinking politicians understand science.
Absolutely, the atmosphere is very complex. Do I believe those that say we are all going to melt because of this overheating? No. I don't think we can accurately predict what is exactly going to happen.
The modeling being used currently so far appears to be very accurate. But no model can 100% replicate all of the various nuances of nature, we don't know all of them. So when there is proof showing something is going on, and it's not good... why the hell would you err on the side of "fahgedaboutit"???
The pole switch is such a slow and gradual process (which is accounted for in all modeling) that it is not possible to account for what the data shows.
And as you had said, you are not a climate scientist. Who are you (or me) to argue with one who is? I don't mean that disrespectfully, but really???
The only ones with something to gain by climatologists being wrong are a certain group of politicians (who would otherwise seem fairly credible) who are using it and "weather" to try to confuse the "climate" issue.
So much for a short post...
The uptick we are in now went up very, very fast.
I don't day they are infallible because they are a majority. I say the majority of naysayers are more fallible due to ignorance of proof, and thinking politicians understand science.
Absolutely, the atmosphere is very complex. Do I believe those that say we are all going to melt because of this overheating? No. I don't think we can accurately predict what is exactly going to happen.
The modeling being used currently so far appears to be very accurate. But no model can 100% replicate all of the various nuances of nature, we don't know all of them. So when there is proof showing something is going on, and it's not good... why the hell would you err on the side of "fahgedaboutit"???
The pole switch is such a slow and gradual process (which is accounted for in all modeling) that it is not possible to account for what the data shows.
And as you had said, you are not a climate scientist. Who are you (or me) to argue with one who is? I don't mean that disrespectfully, but really???
The only ones with something to gain by climatologists being wrong are a certain group of politicians (who would otherwise seem fairly credible) who are using it and "weather" to try to confuse the "climate" issue.
So much for a short post...
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SPC Randy Torgerson
Rosemont, MN.... I'm originally from Mankato area. I'm not entirely sure in your last post which side your on but I did want to address one thing you said.
"So when there is proof showing something is going on, and it's not good... why the hell would you err on the side of "fahgedaboutit"???"
Something has been going on for about 4 billion years. This fraction of time that "man" has been involved here on earth really gives us a lot of credit to think we are making all these profound changes in climate. Science? un-manipulated science indicates growing ice at the poles and cooler temperatures. But the most important point I want to make on what you said is about siding with caution for the unknown information. I think the reason many people do NOT want to side with caution is that "caution" is incredible expensive with no empirical proof that man can ultimately change the climate for bad or good. So why spend all the money (tax money, as the governments have no income of their own, they must take it from you and me). One famous politician said "we have to pass the law first so we can read whats in it".
This is not the way I want my country to take on a global issue. So why not error on the side of caution you ask? Because I can't afford to accommodate the environmentalists of the world who rely on a single position where there is equal or greater evidence that what is going on is completely natural. Just my opinion of course.
"So when there is proof showing something is going on, and it's not good... why the hell would you err on the side of "fahgedaboutit"???"
Something has been going on for about 4 billion years. This fraction of time that "man" has been involved here on earth really gives us a lot of credit to think we are making all these profound changes in climate. Science? un-manipulated science indicates growing ice at the poles and cooler temperatures. But the most important point I want to make on what you said is about siding with caution for the unknown information. I think the reason many people do NOT want to side with caution is that "caution" is incredible expensive with no empirical proof that man can ultimately change the climate for bad or good. So why spend all the money (tax money, as the governments have no income of their own, they must take it from you and me). One famous politician said "we have to pass the law first so we can read whats in it".
This is not the way I want my country to take on a global issue. So why not error on the side of caution you ask? Because I can't afford to accommodate the environmentalists of the world who rely on a single position where there is equal or greater evidence that what is going on is completely natural. Just my opinion of course.
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MSG (Join to see)
Ma'am, you definitely correct about conservation. When "Earth has lost half of its wildlife in the past 40 years, says WWF" is a headline we must stop believing that all of this is "natural" and start realizing that humans have just as much of a part to play in this earth's ecology as any other species. Except the honeybee, honeybees make this blue and green marble spin lol.
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I love how the republicans say, "we're not scientists, so don't ask us about global warming".... then say there is no global warming, although 97% of climate researchers agree there is. The global warming deniers are on par with the 9/11 truthers and the birthers as being about as anti-intellectual as you can get.
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SSgt (Join to see)
SGT David Fernandez You voted now tell me what you think other than a feeling??? lol
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Capt (Join to see)
So what happened with the predictions I was given in HS that we were about to enter an ice age?
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SSgt Randy Saulsberry
I find it funny that climate change became a hot topic back in the 1930s and was a Republican issue all the way until about 2005 and then all of a sudden republicans started to think it's a hoax. I wonder what happened around 2005 that caused this switch?
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Why, oh why are we still having these discussions.
Here are some facts:
Between 1940-1975 the earth cooled about 1/3 of a degree. Pollution and volcanic activity cause this by limiting the amount of sunlight getting through.
This led to paranoia about global cooling.
Carbon Dioxide accounts for roughly a quarter of 'the greenhouse effect.' Human activity accounts for roughly a quarter of the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Water vapor, on the other hand, accounts for over 2/3 of the greenhouse effect.
Without 'the greenhouse effect,' the earth would be inhospitably cold.
Alarmist predictions are almost always wrong. For instance, Al Gore predicted the virtual extinction of Arctic Ice by 2016. Instead, Polar sea ice is healthy and growing.
We know that CO2 warms. We know that it is created by a myriad of sources. We have NO IDEA what impact human activity has.
We know that planetary weather goes in cycles.
Calls for reductions are usually draconian. The Kyoto accords, for instance, would have destroyed the world economy if we all would have signed on.
We cannot make dangerous changes that we don't even know will help in response to something we don't completely understand.
And the chicken-littles in the MCGW camp do themselves a disservice with their fear-mongering.
Here are some facts:
Between 1940-1975 the earth cooled about 1/3 of a degree. Pollution and volcanic activity cause this by limiting the amount of sunlight getting through.
This led to paranoia about global cooling.
Carbon Dioxide accounts for roughly a quarter of 'the greenhouse effect.' Human activity accounts for roughly a quarter of the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Water vapor, on the other hand, accounts for over 2/3 of the greenhouse effect.
Without 'the greenhouse effect,' the earth would be inhospitably cold.
Alarmist predictions are almost always wrong. For instance, Al Gore predicted the virtual extinction of Arctic Ice by 2016. Instead, Polar sea ice is healthy and growing.
We know that CO2 warms. We know that it is created by a myriad of sources. We have NO IDEA what impact human activity has.
We know that planetary weather goes in cycles.
Calls for reductions are usually draconian. The Kyoto accords, for instance, would have destroyed the world economy if we all would have signed on.
We cannot make dangerous changes that we don't even know will help in response to something we don't completely understand.
And the chicken-littles in the MCGW camp do themselves a disservice with their fear-mongering.
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SSG (Join to see)
Sir, because people are deceptive and wish to extort money from the population through fear mongering.
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Sgt Jennifer Mohler
Can I save this, laminate it, and post it on my wall? Well said. Besides there is always a slight warning before we go into an ice age, but each portion of this cycle lasts longer then our lifetimes. It is nearly imperceptible to our daily lives. I do have to point out, however, that NASA does have images showing the holes in our ozone layer over the most poluted cities has begun to close since we have globally made efforts towards cleaner air. While our impact may not be as large as we think, we are not innocent either.
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SPC Randy Torgerson
I know what the warning is before an ice age..!!!!! Answer: It gets colder outside.
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1SG Larry Everly When dealing with the Pro-AGW crowd, I want to pull my hair out! They do not knowing what they are talking about anymore than most who purport to understand any major field of Science.
First there is so much crossover in meanings. Not least of which is the use Global Warming which then become Climate Change. A political expediency used to make the topic more palatable. Politicians to get votes and impose sanctions without any real sense of what is involved.
Secondly, pollution does exist and it CAN affect the environment and it MUST be addressed and corrected. If anything just to make our air quality better and protect our national resources.
But here is the rub and the real part of this 'debate'. Physicians are not experts in this area but they do see the effects of pollution. Increased respiratory issues and disease.
However as we discuss this stuff, politics creep in. Talking points that are replete with political attacks on people who differ. So what is the larger issue and what can be done?
People with an agenda will marginalize each other, in effect saying, that 'deniers' are uneducated. Trust me, they are just as ignorant as they profess to be informed.
From a Meteorologist for over 30 years, I do get it. The fields of climatology and weather overlap. Science models for climatology have been based on Meteorological Models like the NGM, LFM, etc. If we are as bad as people say we are, then how much more unreliable are forecasts projected out to 50-100 years?
That is the point here. Politicians want to spend TRILLIONS of dollars based on a lot of anecdotal and limited empirical data sets. This is kind of like designing a space vehicle with your only tools being Business Math. In terms of cost that is okay but not for engineering.
Immediate corrections to pollution are necessary and alternate forms be found with regard to fossilized fuels. There are answers but not presumptions based on specious data without proper due diligence and peer review. MAJ Robert (Bob) Petrarca SSgt John Bratton
First there is so much crossover in meanings. Not least of which is the use Global Warming which then become Climate Change. A political expediency used to make the topic more palatable. Politicians to get votes and impose sanctions without any real sense of what is involved.
Secondly, pollution does exist and it CAN affect the environment and it MUST be addressed and corrected. If anything just to make our air quality better and protect our national resources.
But here is the rub and the real part of this 'debate'. Physicians are not experts in this area but they do see the effects of pollution. Increased respiratory issues and disease.
However as we discuss this stuff, politics creep in. Talking points that are replete with political attacks on people who differ. So what is the larger issue and what can be done?
People with an agenda will marginalize each other, in effect saying, that 'deniers' are uneducated. Trust me, they are just as ignorant as they profess to be informed.
From a Meteorologist for over 30 years, I do get it. The fields of climatology and weather overlap. Science models for climatology have been based on Meteorological Models like the NGM, LFM, etc. If we are as bad as people say we are, then how much more unreliable are forecasts projected out to 50-100 years?
That is the point here. Politicians want to spend TRILLIONS of dollars based on a lot of anecdotal and limited empirical data sets. This is kind of like designing a space vehicle with your only tools being Business Math. In terms of cost that is okay but not for engineering.
Immediate corrections to pollution are necessary and alternate forms be found with regard to fossilized fuels. There are answers but not presumptions based on specious data without proper due diligence and peer review. MAJ Robert (Bob) Petrarca SSgt John Bratton
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SFC Andrew Reed
Due to all the misinformation, it is hard to decide whether it's real or not. I am still on the fence about it right now.
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SSgt (Join to see)
SFC Andrew Reed What you get is a lot of hyperbole where people react to things like "Deniers, Ignorant, etc" so they might feel good with themselves. . How many times have you had a person to tell you, "Trust me?"
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If you think 97% of expert scientific consensus is incorrect... then I have a great deal on a bridge I'd like to sell you.
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SPC Randy Torgerson
So the bottom line is, "the government wouldn't lie", I'm just saying. SCPO Nicholas Nemeth you most certainly have a right to believe what anyone tells you or what you read or hear or think. I'm still trying to figure out how all the climate changes and global warming and global cooling, etc.... happened before humans were here?
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SSgt (Join to see)
CWO4 (Join to see) We will have to celebrate your commission, because it is a great moment. Let me say this about NASA, I have total respect for them but not necessarily their conclusions.
Your friend,
Larry
Your friend,
Larry
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1SG, it is junk "science". It's not so much that warming and cooling don't exist but more so the simple fallacy that it's man made, which is false. The earth has warmed and cooled through various stages of its existence or the past thousands of years.
The really funny thing is some people don't understand that one volcanic eruption does more damage to the earth than everything humans can do combined in one year. SMH!!!
The really funny thing is some people don't understand that one volcanic eruption does more damage to the earth than everything humans can do combined in one year. SMH!!!
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SGT Joseph Smith
During the time of the global warming debates, wasn't there a solar warming taking place, so all the planets were going through a warming stage?
Swear I read something like that and no one was really discussing it or how it played in effect on earth.
Swear I read something like that and no one was really discussing it or how it played in effect on earth.
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SSG (Join to see)
SGT Joseph Smith, exactly. That's the problem with many of these so called "climate" experts. They refuse to acknowledge the earth has been going through cycles throughout its history of existence even before man populated the planet. The earth has gone through so much damaging stuff but it ALWAYS heals itself. For them to then come out and say the problem is all man-made is totally false and very deceptive. Instead of really seeking out the truth, most are driven by agendas, which is truly sad. No one, at least not true conservatives, is saying the climate hasn't changed. It definitely has but it's also definitely NOT all or mostly caused by man-made activities.
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SGT Joseph Smith
Couldn't agree with you more SSG Redondo.
The problem is they sell noise to the public for personal agendas that are shrouded behind the noise: white and black.
War is a racket: the information war.
The problem is they sell noise to the public for personal agendas that are shrouded behind the noise: white and black.
War is a racket: the information war.
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Since we only have "Scientific Consensus" (the collective judgment, position, and opinion of the community of scientists in a particular field of study), I'll wait until we have "Facts", "Proofs", "Evidence", etc to make a decision.
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CSM Mike Maynard
Cpl Ray Fernandez - I'm not a scientist or a professional climatologist - anything that I derived from reading/researching would only be opinion.
Until it's a scientific proven fact (only a consensus at this point) - I choose not to take sides based on my amateurish and un-intellectual opinion based on everyone else's consensus and/or opinion.
Additionally, whether the climate is changing or not doesn't affect which boots are authorized, if 2LTs salute 1LTs, if I can put my hands in my pockets or what kind of tattoos I can have.
Until it's a scientific proven fact (only a consensus at this point) - I choose not to take sides based on my amateurish and un-intellectual opinion based on everyone else's consensus and/or opinion.
Additionally, whether the climate is changing or not doesn't affect which boots are authorized, if 2LTs salute 1LTs, if I can put my hands in my pockets or what kind of tattoos I can have.
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Cpl Ray Fernandez
CSM Mike Maynard it does affect you more than you realize, future operational planning may be affected by changes in environment and climate. Second how the taxes you pay will be spent on the subject. To make it to the level you have, there must be more intellect than you give yourself credit for having. The only people claiming there is a consensus at this point are the people claiming that the issue has been settled, and as this discussion is proving there is still a lot more to study before it reaches that point.
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CSM Mike Maynard
Cpl Ray Fernandez - I will agree that it may affect me, but that affect is independent of how I feel or what I believe.
It's pretty much the same argument as whether someone believes in Hell or not - there either is or is not a Hell and your opinion/belief doesn't change reality.
So, since whether it is or is not happening doesn't hinge upon my opinion/belief - my time is better spent elsewhere for now.
It's pretty much the same argument as whether someone believes in Hell or not - there either is or is not a Hell and your opinion/belief doesn't change reality.
So, since whether it is or is not happening doesn't hinge upon my opinion/belief - my time is better spent elsewhere for now.
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SSG Gerhard S.
There is no such evidence of proof as "consensus" in the SCIENTIFIC PROCESS. Consensus is nothing more than a gathering of opinions. And has NOTHING to do with the field of science.
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Science is rarely settled. People revisit hypothesis and conclusions and reevaluate the conclusions that have been made on previous observations. How many times have we heard that after further study certain facts have been reevaluated upon obtaining new data with better technology. You have to look at the subject away from the tainting that occurs when politicians use it to prove their point, use it to argue against a point, and then the media delivers a halfassed interpretation of the data that may be one minor point of the study that they're covering. The best thing I can say is to look up the specific studies that are being cited and question the data and the methodology yourself, and don't take anyone else's opinion of what it means and determine the truth for yourselves.
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SSG Gerhard S.
Agree, JUNK. Actually a scheme to make hundreds of Millions of dollars for Mr. Gore and his cronies.
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Cpl (Join to see)
People have been so divided, they either believe it or they won't. And every person will seek out the data that corroborates their own view and they will dismiss any opposing view. We have become a nation of "tribes" and each "tribe" will defend their now dogmatic ideologies with virulent fervor.
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SSG V. Michelle Woods
Cpl (Join to see) if people could only grasp the epicness of what you just wrote then maybe, just MAYBE, our minds would be opened to the reality that actually exists instead of the reality we make up for ourselves.
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IMHO we are dealing with scientific questions that can't be answered within the scope of a human lifetime. Based on science's explanation of repeated ice ages followed by "global warming" which led to our development as a species and civilization, I believe that global warming is reality. Mankind has collective meteorological data for what, a few hundred years while earth, in its present life sustaining form has existed for a few billion years? If global warming truly is a cycle, then this is the first one that modern man is experiencing and as CPT (Join to see) alluded too, who's to say that what we're putting into our atmosphere - things that never existed before man - is not affecting our climate? I tend to stick with Occam's razor - the simplest explanation is generally the correct one.
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COL Randall C.
MAJ (Join to see), so I'm not "anti-intellectual" because I don't fully believe in AGW? :)
To clarify, "My Side" is those that don't believe there is overwhelming scientific consensus in AWG, or put in long terms, that there is disagreement among credible scientists that all three aspects of AGW (earth warming, humans as the cause, climate disaster) are absolutely proven.
Why a religion? Well, the UK judicial system thinks it is (http://goo.gl/yDBnGi). Just kidding - the real reason I say that is that disagreement with the 'overwhelming consensus' comments is usually met with responses akin to what you would expect coming from an atheist talking to a religious fanatic. Again, just look at the responses directed at others in this thread, and these were mostly from other military professionals.
To clarify, "My Side" is those that don't believe there is overwhelming scientific consensus in AWG, or put in long terms, that there is disagreement among credible scientists that all three aspects of AGW (earth warming, humans as the cause, climate disaster) are absolutely proven.
Why a religion? Well, the UK judicial system thinks it is (http://goo.gl/yDBnGi). Just kidding - the real reason I say that is that disagreement with the 'overwhelming consensus' comments is usually met with responses akin to what you would expect coming from an atheist talking to a religious fanatic. Again, just look at the responses directed at others in this thread, and these were mostly from other military professionals.
An executive sacked from a giant property company can claim he was unfairly dismissed because of his "philosophical belief in climate change", a judge ruled yesterday.
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MAJ (Join to see)
COL Randall C. Sir, I'm going to choose to discontinue this conversation based upon my respect for rank. You have thought this all out very well, so please proceed with your beliefs and I will stand down to your comments.
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COL Randall C.
MAJ (Join to see), I disengaged and you drug me back :) However, I do agree that further debate on this topic is unproductive. As we have before, I'm sure we're going to agree and disagree on other threads and I look forward to future intellectual debate.
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MAJ (Join to see)
COL Randall C. Agreed, sir. And as a final note, THANK YOU for at least reading the lit you did. That puts you 99% above the general population.
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