Posted on May 5, 2015
2016 Presidential Race- If you could see anyone win who would it be and why?
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If you could vote for anyone to win the 2016 presidential election, who would it be and why? Who would you like to see make a run if they are not doing so already?
Would it be Allan West? Mike Huckabee? Jen Bush? Gary Johnson, or dare I say Hillary Clinton.
It disclaimer is that I want this to be a mature and legitimate conversation. I enjoy hearing other people's views and experiences. Like mama used to say "if you don't have anything nice to say about someone, don't say anything"
What have you RP? Sound off!
Would it be Allan West? Mike Huckabee? Jen Bush? Gary Johnson, or dare I say Hillary Clinton.
It disclaimer is that I want this to be a mature and legitimate conversation. I enjoy hearing other people's views and experiences. Like mama used to say "if you don't have anything nice to say about someone, don't say anything"
What have you RP? Sound off!
Posted >1 y ago
Responses: 38
Neil Degrasse Tyson/ Bill Nye 2016.
We need more rational, intelligent human beings in office and less lawyers... A government staffed by people who argue for a living is doomed for failure.
We need more rational, intelligent human beings in office and less lawyers... A government staffed by people who argue for a living is doomed for failure.
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Kermit. Anyone that is elected will be nothing more than a puppet that relays the voice of their advisers. At least Kermit would be cool to watch.
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SSgt Michael Orcutt
I'm more of a Oscar the Grouch Supporter... He lives in a trashcan and can sympathize with low income Americans!
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Dr. Ben Carson,
Why he is a Doctor and not a damned politician; he is also very intelligent when it comes the business. That is what we need is a business leader to reignite the economy and bring good jobs back to the USA. These free trade zones with third world countries are killing the middle class.
Why he is a Doctor and not a damned politician; he is also very intelligent when it comes the business. That is what we need is a business leader to reignite the economy and bring good jobs back to the USA. These free trade zones with third world countries are killing the middle class.
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We need a person, not a career politician that changes their stance with whatever is popular at the time. Someone who will not compromise their integrity with the corruption of D.C. and a person with a moral compass that wont be spun 180 when it comes to tough issues. Someone that will stick to their guns even when it's not popular instead of worrying about being politically correct.
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SSgt Michael Orcutt
I agree and that i why I like DR. Ben Carson or Ret. COL Allan West ( Not currently running)
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1SG Mark Wilder
Interesting that you said a Republican, just a year and a half after the former Republican Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan introduced a budget bill to cut the retirement COLA raises for ALL retirees, including those medically retired after leaving body parts on the battlefield. When questioned about it, he replied that military retirees don't need that much money and are young enough to get another job.
Then in December 2014, House Republicans authored the NDAA which cut the statutory active duty pay raise, cut BAH rates across the board, and increased off base pharmacy copayment amounts.
Then just two weeks later, House Republicans authored the budget bill, still not restoring the previous COLA cuts to retirees, but they did give BILLIONS of taxpayer dollars to the defense contractors. This was beyond what the Pentagon asked for in its requested budget. Guess who donates millions to campaigns? That's right, the same ones that were given those billions.
And the Democrats? They just smiled and passed these bills. Both parties demanded they get passed, and even the vets in office passed them-party loyal.
Then in December 2014, House Republicans authored the NDAA which cut the statutory active duty pay raise, cut BAH rates across the board, and increased off base pharmacy copayment amounts.
Then just two weeks later, House Republicans authored the budget bill, still not restoring the previous COLA cuts to retirees, but they did give BILLIONS of taxpayer dollars to the defense contractors. This was beyond what the Pentagon asked for in its requested budget. Guess who donates millions to campaigns? That's right, the same ones that were given those billions.
And the Democrats? They just smiled and passed these bills. Both parties demanded they get passed, and even the vets in office passed them-party loyal.
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SGT Kristin Wiley
So I guess Republicans have to make sure the military keeps their pay and gets raises for to get their votes? There are more important issues than military pay, and voting for someone just because they are going to support you making more money or keeping the money you make seems like a very biased perspective. We need leaders who are good for the country, not necessarily good for the military. Ideally we would have both, but this isn't a perfect world.
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Anyone with Military experience and anyone other than a DEMOCRAT.
Democrats do not know the meaning of the word democratic.
Democrats do not know the meaning of the word democratic.
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I used to be adamantly opposed to 3rd parties, however, I do feel that their appeal is growing immensely, as of late.
I have been watching the Veteran's Party of America (VPA) very intently now.
I know their Facebook page has grown to something like 30,000 'likes' in roughly a years time....not too shabby, for a party just starting out.
If they nominated a rock or a shovel full of dirt to run, I would likely vote for them than the current lineup.
They may not win the presidency, but, I think it would make an immense statement that could position the party for Senate/Congress wins, and maybe more, later.
I also think it would be a very interesting irony if, after over a decade+ of war, and millions of veterans produced, if a veteran's party began to win certain offices.
I have been watching the Veteran's Party of America (VPA) very intently now.
I know their Facebook page has grown to something like 30,000 'likes' in roughly a years time....not too shabby, for a party just starting out.
If they nominated a rock or a shovel full of dirt to run, I would likely vote for them than the current lineup.
They may not win the presidency, but, I think it would make an immense statement that could position the party for Senate/Congress wins, and maybe more, later.
I also think it would be a very interesting irony if, after over a decade+ of war, and millions of veterans produced, if a veteran's party began to win certain offices.
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CPT (Join to see)
Perhaps the most surprising thing, at least to me, is THIS:
http://www.veteranspartyofamerica.org/#!Today-We-Celebrate-One-Year/c1r7e/2E245904-0FBE-422D-8F1F [login to see] CE
"No leader of the VPA receives a salary, stipend, reimbursement, or any other form of compensation for their duties. We are all volunteers.
Our 2015 budget does not provide for a salary of any leadership, nor does our party constitution or bylaws. The bulk of our 2015 budget is earmarked for advertising.
If our members have not noticed, we never once ask for a donation to the party. Instead, we are earning them by moving this party forward."
Imagine that...loving your country so much that you are willing to tred into the political landscape with zero compensation.
We are faced with trillions of dollars in debt, and, for some reason, it is the benefits of the people who shouldered the burden of war for the last decade, that always go on the chopping block first.
I'm not so naive to think that everyone should do everything for FREE, however, our 'leaders'--even in the face of sky high national debt--would rather take from the less than 1% that DO serve, than take from social programs or, God forbid, actually 'modernize' their own retirement scheme or current compensation first.
Personally, I'm getting a bit tired of the elitist attitude exuded by BOTH parties, now.
I'm not saying the VPA is the best thing since sliced bread, however, they at least do appear to be trying to lead by example. The other parties, IMHO, could learn a few leadership lessons from their display of sacrifice and selfless service.
http://www.veteranspartyofamerica.org/#!Today-We-Celebrate-One-Year/c1r7e/2E245904-0FBE-422D-8F1F [login to see] CE
"No leader of the VPA receives a salary, stipend, reimbursement, or any other form of compensation for their duties. We are all volunteers.
Our 2015 budget does not provide for a salary of any leadership, nor does our party constitution or bylaws. The bulk of our 2015 budget is earmarked for advertising.
If our members have not noticed, we never once ask for a donation to the party. Instead, we are earning them by moving this party forward."
Imagine that...loving your country so much that you are willing to tred into the political landscape with zero compensation.
We are faced with trillions of dollars in debt, and, for some reason, it is the benefits of the people who shouldered the burden of war for the last decade, that always go on the chopping block first.
I'm not so naive to think that everyone should do everything for FREE, however, our 'leaders'--even in the face of sky high national debt--would rather take from the less than 1% that DO serve, than take from social programs or, God forbid, actually 'modernize' their own retirement scheme or current compensation first.
Personally, I'm getting a bit tired of the elitist attitude exuded by BOTH parties, now.
I'm not saying the VPA is the best thing since sliced bread, however, they at least do appear to be trying to lead by example. The other parties, IMHO, could learn a few leadership lessons from their display of sacrifice and selfless service.
Being a Veteran is not required. A desire to fix America is required. We are founded by Veterans, for ALL Americans. Join with us.
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SFC Jeff L.
The third party ALWAYS hurts the Republican candidate. Third party candidates tend to be Conservative to Libertarian and end up splitting the republican voting base. I personally indentify more with most 3P candidates, but the reality is that they don't get elected. Think "Ross Perot" and the resulting Clinton years (which were bad for the military - remember?).
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1SG Mark Wilder
Third parties do not have hurt the Republican party. The Republican party hurts the Republican party. Poor candidates “split” the two party voters.
Just imagine an election year with JFK and Reagan on the ballot. Voter turnout would exceed 90% from both parties. Third parties would receive such a minimal amount of votes, they would not even count as a combined 1% of total votes. Independent voters would be courted by both parties and regardless of the outcome, America would not be in horrible shape.
Now imagine the predicted reality in 2016, Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush. Voter turnout would be at a record low, at least for Republicans. Third party votes will skyrocket, taking over 30% of the vote. Independent voters will join the Republican voters at the bar, or researching third party candidates. Whether Clinton of Bush wins, America will be on a downward spiral.
No, a third party does not split votes. An effective third party forces other parties to run great candidates, not mediocre candidates like voters are receiving now.
The “other party” must be stopped attitude enslaves voters, too.
Believing only the two parties can win perpetuates the two party system and failures in DC. This mentality allows the Republicans and Democrats to do whatever they desire, take from any group, send troops to war, raise taxes because they know that these voters will crawl back to them and turn in their precious votes, just to vote AGAINST the other party. This keeps them in power and allows for the destruction of our America.
Poor voter turnout has been increasing. During the 2014 mid-term elections, roughly 60% of all registered voters stayed home. Almost a thousand state and federal incumbent legislator seats went unopposed (only one candidate) on the ballot. The other choices were not appealing to voters of any party. A strong candidate can bring back those absent voters.
If I don’t vote, I am not responsible is also a common myth.
By not voting, these absent voters are allowing the elected officials to commit any sort of political atrocity they wish, in their name. By not voting, the parties know they can run the worst possible candidates because the parties can still win. The 60% absent voters in 2014 could have been the difference and made a change. Third parties can provide the quality candidates.
There isn’t a reason to vote for a third party, it's a wasted vote is also another myth.
Now, more than ever, it is time Americans start to vote FOR a person they want to represent them, not vote AGAINST the “other party.”
The belief that Third parties don’t have a chance has been proven wrong. There have been 3 very successful third parties that have all won the Presidency. The Democrats, Whigs, and Republicans all started as third parties.
With the rising number of unaffiliated voters, and third party voters, the two party system is quickly losing their majority. The most successful third party is the Republican Party. Our nation went until the 1850s until the GOP came about.
The Veterans Party of America has the foundation of the largest voting bloc in the nation. In 2012, there were 129.2 million votes cast for President. President Obama received 65.9 million votes.
There are currently 22 million Veterans in America. Veterans have a very high turnout of voters, at 70% of registered Veteran voters casting a ballot. There we 14.7 million Veteran votes cast. With a great candidate, and only half of those Veterans voting for the VPA, while bringing 2 friends and 2 family members with them, we can expect to receive 37.5 million votes. That is roughly ¼ of the votes cast in 2012. Now add in the Independent voters who are sick of the two party system, those disgruntled Republican and Democrat voters, and attracting the absent voters back with a great candidate. This can double the expected votes. These calculations do not include the votes the VPA would receive merely because it is Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton, if the above situation were to occur, as predicted.
Yes, we have the potential to exceed the 33 1/3% of the votes needed in a three way Presidential race. We have the potential to attract over 50% of the voters.
Vote FOR someone, not AGAINST the “other party.”
Just imagine an election year with JFK and Reagan on the ballot. Voter turnout would exceed 90% from both parties. Third parties would receive such a minimal amount of votes, they would not even count as a combined 1% of total votes. Independent voters would be courted by both parties and regardless of the outcome, America would not be in horrible shape.
Now imagine the predicted reality in 2016, Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush. Voter turnout would be at a record low, at least for Republicans. Third party votes will skyrocket, taking over 30% of the vote. Independent voters will join the Republican voters at the bar, or researching third party candidates. Whether Clinton of Bush wins, America will be on a downward spiral.
No, a third party does not split votes. An effective third party forces other parties to run great candidates, not mediocre candidates like voters are receiving now.
The “other party” must be stopped attitude enslaves voters, too.
Believing only the two parties can win perpetuates the two party system and failures in DC. This mentality allows the Republicans and Democrats to do whatever they desire, take from any group, send troops to war, raise taxes because they know that these voters will crawl back to them and turn in their precious votes, just to vote AGAINST the other party. This keeps them in power and allows for the destruction of our America.
Poor voter turnout has been increasing. During the 2014 mid-term elections, roughly 60% of all registered voters stayed home. Almost a thousand state and federal incumbent legislator seats went unopposed (only one candidate) on the ballot. The other choices were not appealing to voters of any party. A strong candidate can bring back those absent voters.
If I don’t vote, I am not responsible is also a common myth.
By not voting, these absent voters are allowing the elected officials to commit any sort of political atrocity they wish, in their name. By not voting, the parties know they can run the worst possible candidates because the parties can still win. The 60% absent voters in 2014 could have been the difference and made a change. Third parties can provide the quality candidates.
There isn’t a reason to vote for a third party, it's a wasted vote is also another myth.
Now, more than ever, it is time Americans start to vote FOR a person they want to represent them, not vote AGAINST the “other party.”
The belief that Third parties don’t have a chance has been proven wrong. There have been 3 very successful third parties that have all won the Presidency. The Democrats, Whigs, and Republicans all started as third parties.
With the rising number of unaffiliated voters, and third party voters, the two party system is quickly losing their majority. The most successful third party is the Republican Party. Our nation went until the 1850s until the GOP came about.
The Veterans Party of America has the foundation of the largest voting bloc in the nation. In 2012, there were 129.2 million votes cast for President. President Obama received 65.9 million votes.
There are currently 22 million Veterans in America. Veterans have a very high turnout of voters, at 70% of registered Veteran voters casting a ballot. There we 14.7 million Veteran votes cast. With a great candidate, and only half of those Veterans voting for the VPA, while bringing 2 friends and 2 family members with them, we can expect to receive 37.5 million votes. That is roughly ¼ of the votes cast in 2012. Now add in the Independent voters who are sick of the two party system, those disgruntled Republican and Democrat voters, and attracting the absent voters back with a great candidate. This can double the expected votes. These calculations do not include the votes the VPA would receive merely because it is Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton, if the above situation were to occur, as predicted.
Yes, we have the potential to exceed the 33 1/3% of the votes needed in a three way Presidential race. We have the potential to attract over 50% of the voters.
Vote FOR someone, not AGAINST the “other party.”
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Jill Stein... why?
1. She's not a Republican or a Democrat... I'm tired of pretending to be surprised every time we elect Democrats or Republicans and nothing changes.
2. She's not owned by Wall Street.
3. She would take Global Warming seriously.
4. She would take social justice seriously.
5. It's unlikely she would involve us in any new wars.
1. She's not a Republican or a Democrat... I'm tired of pretending to be surprised every time we elect Democrats or Republicans and nothing changes.
2. She's not owned by Wall Street.
3. She would take Global Warming seriously.
4. She would take social justice seriously.
5. It's unlikely she would involve us in any new wars.
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SSG (Join to see)
I agree with Gary Johnson about a third of the time, and with Jill Stein about 2/3 of the time. I would vote Gary Johnson if I thought he had a chance of beating the Democrat or Republican in Arizona. We have got to stop drinking that Demopublican kool-aid.
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"We The People" have no say in who gets the nomination. It is the National Committees of the Democratic and Republican parties that decide. The Chair, Vice Chair, Secretary, and Treasurer decide. These are the party leaders elected by the state party leaders, who are elected by the County party leaders, who are elected by a small handful of dues paying party members.
Here is the nomination process:
To some people, the presidential primaries are little more than smoke and mirrors. Despite changes made in the late 1800s and early 1900s, political power is still in the hands of the few.
Bottom Line Up Front: Voters cast their votes in a primary. A lot of American voters believe that the candidate with the highest number of votes wins the party nomination. Unfortunately, that is not how the parties set up this system. These primary votes, from the voters, determine which candidate the state's delegates to the party convention are "pledged" to vote for at the convention. All delegates are chosen by the party leadership, not the voters. While each delegate is meant to be "pledged" to vote for a single candidate at the convention, as determined by the party rules for that state, the delegates are not bound by law to do so since political parties are private organizations. So a vote cast by a citizen may not go to the state's chosen candidate at all, if the delegate breaks from his or her "pledge." Each party determines the number of delegates for each state and the total number for the convention, as well as exactly how each state will award all or a portion of their delegates to one candidate, or a percentage to each candidate. Even if the voters choose one candidate, the party can void those delegates and replace them, guaranteeing the victory to their chosen candidate. These delegates cast the actual votes at the convention, not the people.
Here is how it all works:
The original intent of the primary election system was meant to transfer the right to elect a presidential candidate from an elite, entitled few into the hands of voters. Voters in each state had a choice among candidates, who now had to pay attention to the issues the public considered important. It alleviated corruption in national American politics. Both parties have similar rules for primaries, and often discuss with each other how and when they want the primaries held in a majority of states. Some states use a caucus, which will be explained towards the end.
In spirit, a presidential primary election consists of individual voters casting a vote in favor of their preferred candidate. A primary election closely resembles a general election with the voters choosing between candidates from each party for office. In a primary, however, the individual voter casts his or her vote to determine who from their party will move onto the general election. This is where the public view ends and the manipulation begins. Regardless of whether a primary or caucus is used by a state, the point is to award delegates to candidates on their way to the national convention. That’s right-delegates! The individually cast votes do not go directly to a candidate; instead they come in the form of delegates to the party's national convention.
You may now be asking “What's all this about delegates?” and “Who are these people?” Delegates are usually people who are involved in their state's politics. They may be volunteers, local party chairs or other interested citizens. Each party makes their own rules for the number of, and distribution of the delegates at their respective convention. In addition, while delegates are meant to be committed to a single candidate, they are not bound by law to do so since political parties are private organizations. So a vote cast by a citizen may not go to the chosen candidate at all, if the delegate breaks from his or her obligation.
Despite pleas for party unity, three of Arizona’s 29 delegates voted for Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, to be the party’s 2012 presidential nominee. During the roll call of the states, when delegations announce their votes, Gov. Jan Brewer brought a cheer from the hall when she announced that 26 Arizona votes went to Romney – then paused before adding that three delegation votes went to Paul. “Gov. Romney may not be from the West, but he’s a Westerner at heart,” Brewer said as she announced the tally. “He embodies our Western spirit and shows all that can be achieved with the American formula of hard work, faith and opportunity and freedom. and I am proud today to advance and announce that Arizona, the Grand Canyon State, casts 26 votes in … nomination of Mitt Romney … and three votes for Ron Paul,” she said. They joined 187 others who bucked the party and refused to vote for frontrunner Mitt Romney.
Here is one example of a delegate breakdown for a national convention. In 2012, the Republican Party announced the requirement to receive the GOP nomination was for a candidate to receive 1,212 delegate votes, from the total of 2,422 delegates.
The 2012 GOP delegate make up was:
Ten (10) “at-large” delegates (five for each senate seat)
Three (3) party leaders (the national party’s chairman & chairwoman for that state, plus the state Republican party’s leader)
Three (3) delegates per seat the state has in the House of Representatives (for example, Hawaii has two seats, so it will get six delegates from this rule)
If the state “went Republican” in 2008 (that is, it voted for McCain in the Electoral College), it gets a bonus of [4.5 + three-fifths of the state's total number of electoral college votes], rounded up.
If any of the state’s Senate seats are held by elected (not appointed) Republicans, it gets one (1) bonus delegate per elected Republican Senator.
If the state’s governor is a Republican, it gets one (1) bonus delegate.
If the state’s members of the House of Representatives are majority-Republican, it gets one (1) bonus delegate.
If the state’s local legislature has one house that’s majority-Republican (like, say, the New York State Senate), it gets one (1) bonus delegate.
If all of the state’s local legislative houses are majority-Republican, it gets an additional one (1) bonus delegate.
Additionally, territories like Puerto Rico, Guam, etc. along with the District of Columbia get to send at-large delegates and their three local party leaders, too. There’s even a complex rule for when DC’s electoral votes go to a Republican candidate.
Delegates may be distributed by each state party by having the primary election fashioned in a proportional system, winner-take-all system, or some entirely different system. The State Republican and Democratic party leaders determine what type of system their party will use in that particular state. Each states' sytem even changes from one primary election year to another, as dictated by the party. After all that, the resulting delegates may not even be Binded or “Pledged.”*
In a Proportional System: A state’s delegates are allocated proportionally to each candidate, though there’s often a floor of support that the candidate has to reach to even get one. For example, New Hampshire will have twenty (20) delegates up for grabs, and any candidate that gets above 10% of the vote would be entitled to a share. If a state has 100 delegates and a candidate wins 60 percent of the vote in the state's primary, then that candidate will have 60 delegates from that state at the national convention.
In a Winner-Take-All System: A candidate who wins the majority of the vote in a primary wins gets all the state’s delegates.
Hybrid Systems: Some curious combination of proportionality and winner-take-all. For example, in California, most delegates are assigned winner-take-all… in each Congressional district (with three delegates per district), not state-wide. Then ten “at-large” delegates go to whoever got the most state-wide votes.
*Binding/”Pledged” delegates: Even after a state party selects its delegates, it could give them varying instructions on how “loyal” they have to be to their candidate. Some state parties might penalize a delegate for casting a vote against the candidate they were supposed to support at the convention if the candidate didn’t give them permission to do so, while others states might select delegates based on who they say they’re going to vote for but allow them to remain “unpledged” to any candidate.
But how do the delegates decide who to vote for? The national party determines how delegates are allocated, or even whether they get to show up to the convention at all. So any state that wants to send delegates has to abide by the national party’s rules, which are the agenda of who gets to vote and when. However, the party could vote to impose harsher restrictions, including wholly disenfranchising any state which breaks these rules. A party may penalize a state if it doesn't follow party rules or schedules. This can result in a partial or total loss of delegates at the national convention. When the states begin to lose their delegates at the national convention, Superdelegates become especially important.
Superdelegates are usually elected officials from a state, sent by the state party to serve as uncommitted delegates. Superdelegates can pledge their votes without regard to primaries or caucuses -- for example, after being courted by a candidate -- or they can remain uncommitted until voting begins at the national convention. These superdelegates are not bound by the voters and are chosen by the respective party leaders of each state. While standard delegates chosen by votes from ordinary voters are important, superdelegates have a lot of influence as well. In the 2008 primaries, the Democrats had 800 superdelegates, a sizeable number considering that to win the nomination a Democratic candidate needed 2,183 delegates voting in their favor.
Each actual state ultimately decides whether it will even hold presidential primaries, and when. After all, it is generally each state’s taxpayers that pay to hold the primaries for the parties. In 2008, the state Republican parties of Michigan, South Carolina, Florida and Nevada all moved their primaries to dates before the official earliest date the Democratic Party had scheduled. In response, the Republican National Party threatened not to count the votes of some of the offending states, effectively rendering the votes cast by residents totally useless. The Secretaries of State in those states, in turn, threatened to sue the party. In the same year, the State of Kansas came under heavy criticism in 2008 for opting out of the presidential primaries to save $2 million. In response, both the Democratic and Republican parties held caucuses in the state on their own. Again, in the 2008 election, 24 states held primaries on the earliest date -- Feb. 5, referred to as Super Tuesday. To critics of the primary system, this frontloading of the schedule resulted in an unfair shift of power away from states that chose to hold their primaries later. In other words, with so many delegates up for grabs early on, states with later primary dates can lose importance.
The parties can even establish which states are their “Winner Takes All” states and then move those state primaries to early voting dates, along with setting the proportionate number of delegates to those states where the party’s chosen candidate will win most. This then clinches the win early and other states primaries have no effect on the outcome. What winds up happening is that a candidate reaches the majority of “pledged” delegates and the other candidates, seeing this, “release” their own delegates. These “released” delegates normally rally behind the winner. The national Democratic party lets a significant number of party officials show up “unpledged” and vote their conscience at the nomination conventions (it was 856 out of 4,419 in 2008, or about 20% of the total). Republicans only let three people per state/territory do that (168 out of 2,422, or about 7%).
The caucus system dates back to 1796, when American political parties began emerging, and it hasn't changed a whole lot since then. Most states eventually replaced this system, because as political parties became more centralized and sophisticated in the early twentieth century, party leaders or "bosses" were perceived as exerting too much control over choosing a nominee. To give individual voters more influence over the nomination process, party leaders created the presidential primary system.
In both parties, the purpose of the caucus vote is to select delegates to attend a county convention -- each caucus sends a certain number of delegates, based on the population it represents. The delegates at the county convention in turn select delegates to go to the congressional district state convention, and those delegates choose the delegates that go to the national convention. In Iowa, the caucuses themselves are local party precinct meetings where registered Republicans and Democrats gather, discuss the candidates and vote for their candidate of choice for their party's nomination.
The Republican caucus voting system in Iowa is relatively straightforward: You come in, you vote, typically through secret ballot, and the percentages of the group supporting each candidate decides what delegates will go on to the county convention.
The Democrats have a more complex system -- in fact, it's one of the most complex pieces of the entire presidential election. In a typical caucus, registered democrats gather at the precinct meeting places (there are close to 2,000 precincts statewide), supporters for each candidate have a chance to make their case, and then the participants gather into groups supporting particular candidates (undecided voters also cluster into a group). In order for a particular group to be viable, they must have a certain percentage of the all the caucus participants. If they don't have enough people, the group disbands, and its members go to another group. The percentage cut-off is determined by the number of delegates assigned to the precinct. It breaks down like this:
If the precinct has only one delegate, the group with the most people wins the delegate vote, and that's it.
If the precinct has only two delegates, each group needs 25 percent to be viable.
If the precinct has only three delegates, each group needs one-sixth of the caucus participants.
If the precinct has four or more delegates, each group needs at least 15 percent of the caucus participants.
Once the groups are settled, the next order of business is to figure out how many of that precinct's delegates each group (and by extension, each candidate) should win. Here's the formula:
(Number of people in the group * number of delegates)/ number of caucus participants
For example, say a precinct has four delegates, 200 caucus participants, and 100 people support John Doe. To figure out how many delegates you assign to John Doe, you would multiply 100 by four, to get 400. You divide 400 by 200 and get 2. So John Doe gets two of the four delegates.
The media reports the "winner," based on the percentage of delegates going to each candidate. This isn't exactly accurate, since it's actually the state convention that decides what delegates go to the national convention, but more often than not, there's a clear statewide winner after the caucuses.
The political convention itself is a uniquely American tradition, one that is focused on the political parties that have defined Americans' choices in government for nearly 175 years. Political conventions, and the party system they are an integral part of, are not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution. Indeed, the founding fathers of American government viewed political parties with distrust or outright hostility.
Originally, the main purpose of political conventions was to nominate the party's candidate for president. In the 1800s, the movement in the United States was to place more political power directly in the hands of the citizens. Political conventions were one way of doing this: Previously, candidates were nominated in secret caucuses by members of Congress; candidates would now be chosen by delegates who were selected at the state or county level by the party members. Members are dues paying voters of a party, not every voter of the party. Members have a vested interest in the party and are allowed to partake in the internal decision making of the party. It is here that these delegates cast the true vote that will decide on which will determine the respective party’s nominee for President.
Political conventions serve other purposes beyond nominating the party candidate, which is why they're still around. The convention offers party members a chance to gather together and discuss the party's platform. The platform is the party's stance on the political issues of the day. For a long time, the convention was a place for political debate, and important decisions were made there. Today, even this function of the convention has been largely stripped away. The conventions have been streamlined, with important events and speeches scheduled for prime-time television hours. The parties work to eliminate any evidence of debate or disunity within the party. The political conventions have now been reduced to the status of infomercials, marketing the ideas and personalities of the party to the public. While the conventions serve to unify the party and generate party pride, the "advertisement for the party" has become the primary function of political conventions today.
Yet today, Americans can hardly imagine a government without political parties, and the parties' conventions.Regardless of who the voters choose, in the end, the party makes the final decision through a series of manipulations of the primary system, changing dates, setting the type of delegate selection from the primary results, and whether to even accept the delegates from certain states, or replace them with superdelegates to vote for the party, not the people.
American taxpayers help pay for the political conventions held every four years by both the Republican and Democratic national committees. The taxpayer subsidies for political conventions come through the Presidential Election Campaign Fund. The account is funded by taxpayers who choose to contribute $3 to it by checking a box on the federal income tax returns. About 33 million taxpayers contribute to the fund every year, according to the Federal Election Commission. In 2012, Taxpayers directly contributed $18,248,300 million to the Republican and Democratic national committees, or a total of $36.5 million. Congress also set aside $50 million for security at each of the party conventions.for a total of $100 million. The total cost to taxpayers of the two national party conventions in 2012 exceeded $136 million. Corporations and unions also help cover much of the cost for the conventions. The amount each party receives from the Presidential Election Campaign Fund to cover convention costs is a fixed amount index to inflation, according to the FEC. Any party which receives at least 5% of the popular presidential vote will receive an equal share of the funds during the next presidential election season. This should also be a goal of all emerging parties, as that financial loss would seriously cripple the Republican and Democrat parties. Imagine $20 million dollars split four ways, rather than between two parties.
Here is the nomination process:
To some people, the presidential primaries are little more than smoke and mirrors. Despite changes made in the late 1800s and early 1900s, political power is still in the hands of the few.
Bottom Line Up Front: Voters cast their votes in a primary. A lot of American voters believe that the candidate with the highest number of votes wins the party nomination. Unfortunately, that is not how the parties set up this system. These primary votes, from the voters, determine which candidate the state's delegates to the party convention are "pledged" to vote for at the convention. All delegates are chosen by the party leadership, not the voters. While each delegate is meant to be "pledged" to vote for a single candidate at the convention, as determined by the party rules for that state, the delegates are not bound by law to do so since political parties are private organizations. So a vote cast by a citizen may not go to the state's chosen candidate at all, if the delegate breaks from his or her "pledge." Each party determines the number of delegates for each state and the total number for the convention, as well as exactly how each state will award all or a portion of their delegates to one candidate, or a percentage to each candidate. Even if the voters choose one candidate, the party can void those delegates and replace them, guaranteeing the victory to their chosen candidate. These delegates cast the actual votes at the convention, not the people.
Here is how it all works:
The original intent of the primary election system was meant to transfer the right to elect a presidential candidate from an elite, entitled few into the hands of voters. Voters in each state had a choice among candidates, who now had to pay attention to the issues the public considered important. It alleviated corruption in national American politics. Both parties have similar rules for primaries, and often discuss with each other how and when they want the primaries held in a majority of states. Some states use a caucus, which will be explained towards the end.
In spirit, a presidential primary election consists of individual voters casting a vote in favor of their preferred candidate. A primary election closely resembles a general election with the voters choosing between candidates from each party for office. In a primary, however, the individual voter casts his or her vote to determine who from their party will move onto the general election. This is where the public view ends and the manipulation begins. Regardless of whether a primary or caucus is used by a state, the point is to award delegates to candidates on their way to the national convention. That’s right-delegates! The individually cast votes do not go directly to a candidate; instead they come in the form of delegates to the party's national convention.
You may now be asking “What's all this about delegates?” and “Who are these people?” Delegates are usually people who are involved in their state's politics. They may be volunteers, local party chairs or other interested citizens. Each party makes their own rules for the number of, and distribution of the delegates at their respective convention. In addition, while delegates are meant to be committed to a single candidate, they are not bound by law to do so since political parties are private organizations. So a vote cast by a citizen may not go to the chosen candidate at all, if the delegate breaks from his or her obligation.
Despite pleas for party unity, three of Arizona’s 29 delegates voted for Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, to be the party’s 2012 presidential nominee. During the roll call of the states, when delegations announce their votes, Gov. Jan Brewer brought a cheer from the hall when she announced that 26 Arizona votes went to Romney – then paused before adding that three delegation votes went to Paul. “Gov. Romney may not be from the West, but he’s a Westerner at heart,” Brewer said as she announced the tally. “He embodies our Western spirit and shows all that can be achieved with the American formula of hard work, faith and opportunity and freedom. and I am proud today to advance and announce that Arizona, the Grand Canyon State, casts 26 votes in … nomination of Mitt Romney … and three votes for Ron Paul,” she said. They joined 187 others who bucked the party and refused to vote for frontrunner Mitt Romney.
Here is one example of a delegate breakdown for a national convention. In 2012, the Republican Party announced the requirement to receive the GOP nomination was for a candidate to receive 1,212 delegate votes, from the total of 2,422 delegates.
The 2012 GOP delegate make up was:
Ten (10) “at-large” delegates (five for each senate seat)
Three (3) party leaders (the national party’s chairman & chairwoman for that state, plus the state Republican party’s leader)
Three (3) delegates per seat the state has in the House of Representatives (for example, Hawaii has two seats, so it will get six delegates from this rule)
If the state “went Republican” in 2008 (that is, it voted for McCain in the Electoral College), it gets a bonus of [4.5 + three-fifths of the state's total number of electoral college votes], rounded up.
If any of the state’s Senate seats are held by elected (not appointed) Republicans, it gets one (1) bonus delegate per elected Republican Senator.
If the state’s governor is a Republican, it gets one (1) bonus delegate.
If the state’s members of the House of Representatives are majority-Republican, it gets one (1) bonus delegate.
If the state’s local legislature has one house that’s majority-Republican (like, say, the New York State Senate), it gets one (1) bonus delegate.
If all of the state’s local legislative houses are majority-Republican, it gets an additional one (1) bonus delegate.
Additionally, territories like Puerto Rico, Guam, etc. along with the District of Columbia get to send at-large delegates and their three local party leaders, too. There’s even a complex rule for when DC’s electoral votes go to a Republican candidate.
Delegates may be distributed by each state party by having the primary election fashioned in a proportional system, winner-take-all system, or some entirely different system. The State Republican and Democratic party leaders determine what type of system their party will use in that particular state. Each states' sytem even changes from one primary election year to another, as dictated by the party. After all that, the resulting delegates may not even be Binded or “Pledged.”*
In a Proportional System: A state’s delegates are allocated proportionally to each candidate, though there’s often a floor of support that the candidate has to reach to even get one. For example, New Hampshire will have twenty (20) delegates up for grabs, and any candidate that gets above 10% of the vote would be entitled to a share. If a state has 100 delegates and a candidate wins 60 percent of the vote in the state's primary, then that candidate will have 60 delegates from that state at the national convention.
In a Winner-Take-All System: A candidate who wins the majority of the vote in a primary wins gets all the state’s delegates.
Hybrid Systems: Some curious combination of proportionality and winner-take-all. For example, in California, most delegates are assigned winner-take-all… in each Congressional district (with three delegates per district), not state-wide. Then ten “at-large” delegates go to whoever got the most state-wide votes.
*Binding/”Pledged” delegates: Even after a state party selects its delegates, it could give them varying instructions on how “loyal” they have to be to their candidate. Some state parties might penalize a delegate for casting a vote against the candidate they were supposed to support at the convention if the candidate didn’t give them permission to do so, while others states might select delegates based on who they say they’re going to vote for but allow them to remain “unpledged” to any candidate.
But how do the delegates decide who to vote for? The national party determines how delegates are allocated, or even whether they get to show up to the convention at all. So any state that wants to send delegates has to abide by the national party’s rules, which are the agenda of who gets to vote and when. However, the party could vote to impose harsher restrictions, including wholly disenfranchising any state which breaks these rules. A party may penalize a state if it doesn't follow party rules or schedules. This can result in a partial or total loss of delegates at the national convention. When the states begin to lose their delegates at the national convention, Superdelegates become especially important.
Superdelegates are usually elected officials from a state, sent by the state party to serve as uncommitted delegates. Superdelegates can pledge their votes without regard to primaries or caucuses -- for example, after being courted by a candidate -- or they can remain uncommitted until voting begins at the national convention. These superdelegates are not bound by the voters and are chosen by the respective party leaders of each state. While standard delegates chosen by votes from ordinary voters are important, superdelegates have a lot of influence as well. In the 2008 primaries, the Democrats had 800 superdelegates, a sizeable number considering that to win the nomination a Democratic candidate needed 2,183 delegates voting in their favor.
Each actual state ultimately decides whether it will even hold presidential primaries, and when. After all, it is generally each state’s taxpayers that pay to hold the primaries for the parties. In 2008, the state Republican parties of Michigan, South Carolina, Florida and Nevada all moved their primaries to dates before the official earliest date the Democratic Party had scheduled. In response, the Republican National Party threatened not to count the votes of some of the offending states, effectively rendering the votes cast by residents totally useless. The Secretaries of State in those states, in turn, threatened to sue the party. In the same year, the State of Kansas came under heavy criticism in 2008 for opting out of the presidential primaries to save $2 million. In response, both the Democratic and Republican parties held caucuses in the state on their own. Again, in the 2008 election, 24 states held primaries on the earliest date -- Feb. 5, referred to as Super Tuesday. To critics of the primary system, this frontloading of the schedule resulted in an unfair shift of power away from states that chose to hold their primaries later. In other words, with so many delegates up for grabs early on, states with later primary dates can lose importance.
The parties can even establish which states are their “Winner Takes All” states and then move those state primaries to early voting dates, along with setting the proportionate number of delegates to those states where the party’s chosen candidate will win most. This then clinches the win early and other states primaries have no effect on the outcome. What winds up happening is that a candidate reaches the majority of “pledged” delegates and the other candidates, seeing this, “release” their own delegates. These “released” delegates normally rally behind the winner. The national Democratic party lets a significant number of party officials show up “unpledged” and vote their conscience at the nomination conventions (it was 856 out of 4,419 in 2008, or about 20% of the total). Republicans only let three people per state/territory do that (168 out of 2,422, or about 7%).
The caucus system dates back to 1796, when American political parties began emerging, and it hasn't changed a whole lot since then. Most states eventually replaced this system, because as political parties became more centralized and sophisticated in the early twentieth century, party leaders or "bosses" were perceived as exerting too much control over choosing a nominee. To give individual voters more influence over the nomination process, party leaders created the presidential primary system.
In both parties, the purpose of the caucus vote is to select delegates to attend a county convention -- each caucus sends a certain number of delegates, based on the population it represents. The delegates at the county convention in turn select delegates to go to the congressional district state convention, and those delegates choose the delegates that go to the national convention. In Iowa, the caucuses themselves are local party precinct meetings where registered Republicans and Democrats gather, discuss the candidates and vote for their candidate of choice for their party's nomination.
The Republican caucus voting system in Iowa is relatively straightforward: You come in, you vote, typically through secret ballot, and the percentages of the group supporting each candidate decides what delegates will go on to the county convention.
The Democrats have a more complex system -- in fact, it's one of the most complex pieces of the entire presidential election. In a typical caucus, registered democrats gather at the precinct meeting places (there are close to 2,000 precincts statewide), supporters for each candidate have a chance to make their case, and then the participants gather into groups supporting particular candidates (undecided voters also cluster into a group). In order for a particular group to be viable, they must have a certain percentage of the all the caucus participants. If they don't have enough people, the group disbands, and its members go to another group. The percentage cut-off is determined by the number of delegates assigned to the precinct. It breaks down like this:
If the precinct has only one delegate, the group with the most people wins the delegate vote, and that's it.
If the precinct has only two delegates, each group needs 25 percent to be viable.
If the precinct has only three delegates, each group needs one-sixth of the caucus participants.
If the precinct has four or more delegates, each group needs at least 15 percent of the caucus participants.
Once the groups are settled, the next order of business is to figure out how many of that precinct's delegates each group (and by extension, each candidate) should win. Here's the formula:
(Number of people in the group * number of delegates)/ number of caucus participants
For example, say a precinct has four delegates, 200 caucus participants, and 100 people support John Doe. To figure out how many delegates you assign to John Doe, you would multiply 100 by four, to get 400. You divide 400 by 200 and get 2. So John Doe gets two of the four delegates.
The media reports the "winner," based on the percentage of delegates going to each candidate. This isn't exactly accurate, since it's actually the state convention that decides what delegates go to the national convention, but more often than not, there's a clear statewide winner after the caucuses.
The political convention itself is a uniquely American tradition, one that is focused on the political parties that have defined Americans' choices in government for nearly 175 years. Political conventions, and the party system they are an integral part of, are not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution. Indeed, the founding fathers of American government viewed political parties with distrust or outright hostility.
Originally, the main purpose of political conventions was to nominate the party's candidate for president. In the 1800s, the movement in the United States was to place more political power directly in the hands of the citizens. Political conventions were one way of doing this: Previously, candidates were nominated in secret caucuses by members of Congress; candidates would now be chosen by delegates who were selected at the state or county level by the party members. Members are dues paying voters of a party, not every voter of the party. Members have a vested interest in the party and are allowed to partake in the internal decision making of the party. It is here that these delegates cast the true vote that will decide on which will determine the respective party’s nominee for President.
Political conventions serve other purposes beyond nominating the party candidate, which is why they're still around. The convention offers party members a chance to gather together and discuss the party's platform. The platform is the party's stance on the political issues of the day. For a long time, the convention was a place for political debate, and important decisions were made there. Today, even this function of the convention has been largely stripped away. The conventions have been streamlined, with important events and speeches scheduled for prime-time television hours. The parties work to eliminate any evidence of debate or disunity within the party. The political conventions have now been reduced to the status of infomercials, marketing the ideas and personalities of the party to the public. While the conventions serve to unify the party and generate party pride, the "advertisement for the party" has become the primary function of political conventions today.
Yet today, Americans can hardly imagine a government without political parties, and the parties' conventions.Regardless of who the voters choose, in the end, the party makes the final decision through a series of manipulations of the primary system, changing dates, setting the type of delegate selection from the primary results, and whether to even accept the delegates from certain states, or replace them with superdelegates to vote for the party, not the people.
American taxpayers help pay for the political conventions held every four years by both the Republican and Democratic national committees. The taxpayer subsidies for political conventions come through the Presidential Election Campaign Fund. The account is funded by taxpayers who choose to contribute $3 to it by checking a box on the federal income tax returns. About 33 million taxpayers contribute to the fund every year, according to the Federal Election Commission. In 2012, Taxpayers directly contributed $18,248,300 million to the Republican and Democratic national committees, or a total of $36.5 million. Congress also set aside $50 million for security at each of the party conventions.for a total of $100 million. The total cost to taxpayers of the two national party conventions in 2012 exceeded $136 million. Corporations and unions also help cover much of the cost for the conventions. The amount each party receives from the Presidential Election Campaign Fund to cover convention costs is a fixed amount index to inflation, according to the FEC. Any party which receives at least 5% of the popular presidential vote will receive an equal share of the funds during the next presidential election season. This should also be a goal of all emerging parties, as that financial loss would seriously cripple the Republican and Democrat parties. Imagine $20 million dollars split four ways, rather than between two parties.
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