Posted on May 6, 2019
China is laying the groundwork for war with Taiwan
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China very much wants Taiwan. The British were forced to hand back Hong Kong and I think that emboldened the Chinese into thinking that any island in their area should belong to them.
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Taiwan knows it cannot win. It's whole strategy is to have sufficient force to not lose before the US can respond. The question is, will the US respond? The other question is, can China afford war with the US? It can once it has shifted a significant portion of its trade elsewhere...
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LTC (Join to see)
I believe the Communists are planning a war of surprise and a war of attrition. They must believe in the SAS motto of Who Dares, Wins!!( not to be confused with an SAS reality TV show)
LTC Eugene Chu 1SG (Join to see) CPT Jack Durish Lt Col Charlie Brown MAJ Matthew Arnold MCPO Roger Collins PVT Mark Zehner MSG Stan Hutchison
LTC Eugene Chu 1SG (Join to see) CPT Jack Durish Lt Col Charlie Brown MAJ Matthew Arnold MCPO Roger Collins PVT Mark Zehner MSG Stan Hutchison
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CPT Jack Durish
LTC (Join to see) - I could be wrong but aren't those opposite strategies? A war of surprise seeks a quick win. A war of attrition seeks victory in a slow grinding and drawn out affair.
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I don't think anyone is tossing around nukes over Taiwan.
What might really happen is a short, intense air-sea battle.
Making a forced landing in Taiwan would be no mean feat, and China doesn't have a ton of amphibious capacity. I like Taiwan's chances of frustrating a forced entry, especially if we help.
A more dangerous possibility is one of coordination. If China can enlist one of our other enemies to make a move at the same time, particularly North Korea, that would present us with a very difficult strategic dilemma.
What might really happen is a short, intense air-sea battle.
Making a forced landing in Taiwan would be no mean feat, and China doesn't have a ton of amphibious capacity. I like Taiwan's chances of frustrating a forced entry, especially if we help.
A more dangerous possibility is one of coordination. If China can enlist one of our other enemies to make a move at the same time, particularly North Korea, that would present us with a very difficult strategic dilemma.
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