Posted on Jul 23, 2014
1SG Larry Everly
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Posted in these groups: 6262122778 997339a086 z PoliticsArctic ice nasa goddard flickr Climate Change
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PO1 Michael G.
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The earth is a few billion years old. To cite a few colder than average seasons in the past couple of years as evidence of an actual scientific theory (with data, hypotheses, and experimentation, following a legitimate method) being "junk" would be like saying that the human body's temperature is not *really* 98.6 because you were running a fever one day of your life.

Besides which, this is what has happened to the arctic ice cap in the last 30 or so years: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/2007/seaice1979-2007sep05.jpg

"Junk" just is not an accurate description.
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PFC Stephen Eric Serati
PFC Stephen Eric Serati
10 y
looks like a 1/3.So run your program forward 30 years.2/3.60yrs gone.
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SPC Randy Torgerson
SPC Randy Torgerson
10 y
Don't you guys think its pointless to debate what the climate will do? We can't predict accurately what the weather will be next week...! In fact we can't even agree what the climate has done historically.
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CPL Corey Aldridge
CPL Corey Aldridge
10 y
LOL Randy you are absolutely right... Lets spent the time productively, not pointlessly.
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1SG Civil Affairs Specialist
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Edited 10 y ago
I have two thoughts, one anecdotal, one a little more substantive:
1. When I was a kid, the bugaboo was acid rain. This was in the age of Love Canal and sundry other ecological messes that led to the government "doing something" by (surprise!) growing more government... in this case the EPA.

When climate was spoken of, it was how civilization as we know it would end when the next ice age hit. Not if, but when. Founded on the observation that ice ages had occurred with something resembling a regular cycle and theorized that peaks and valleys in solar activity and/or asteroid strikes and/or large volcanic events were to blame. Granted, my 3d grade mind did not analyze all this scientifically, but I remember it very well to this day.

2. The biggest champions of global warming/ climate change alarmism happen to have a very large monetary stake in the adoption of a "carbon credits" exchange, whereby an industry can "offset" their carbon footprint by giving a company (or government) money that they will use to plant trees or some such. I feel very strongly that all of this hype is designed as one big money grab. It is evidenced by the notion in the UN that throwing money at Micronesia and other low-lying countries (notably not the Netherlands - not third world enough) will somehow keep a rising ocean at bay. That trading carbon as some form of notional commodity will have any real impact on the environment.

I don't need to be a scientist to understand that the giant ball of fire in the sky, plate techtonic activity, and the massive force of oceanographic/ atmospheric currents have far more to do with the climate than my car or can of Right Guard. It is the height of hubris to think that our feeble machinations on the surface do much more than scratch mother nature. Not to understate the LOCAL impact mankind can make; the wastelands in Kazakhstan and the desertification around the Sahara stand testament to what people can do, as does the amazing agricultural output of the Midwestern USA.

Want to make a difference? Plant a tree. There's a pile of acorns/ maple seeds/ pine cones laying around every fall so it doesn't cost anything. Buy a fuel efficient vehicle next time it comes time to buy a car because it makes sense for your budget. Feel strongly about it? Put your money where your mouth is. But don't insult my intelligence or make me pay thousands of dollars in taxes and increased utility costs to let you go make a speech saying how you did something about the problem.
If it gets too hot in 1000 years, people will migrate to more northern locations, just as they always have. Plenty of vacant lots in Canada and Siberia. Just be aware property values will crash when the current cycles turn over and the glaciers advance. Just ask Mrs Kruger in Madison Elementary School circa 1982.
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LTC Engineer Officer
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In 1972 I was hired by NY Telephone. During coffee break we were all laughing at a NY Times article that said the reason it was so cold that winter was because Global Warming was melting the glaciers and cooling the oceans. They get an A+ for effort and not giving up!!!
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SGT Chris Birkinbine
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Edited 10 y ago
Global Warming term is a misnomer that confuses people who do not understand the Science (not their fault, it is the media). The correct term is Climate Change. It is the indication that the average temperature of the earth is rising. That means it CAN get colder in places.

Let me put this out as a physicist and scientist. The scientific community does NOT disagree that there is climate change. It does NOT disagree that there is a current rise in global average temperature.

What is disagreed on, is how MUCH of the 10% increase over the last hundred years is due to human activities, and how much are part of a natural cycle, and how much are part of a natural rise. (a cycle being the rise and fall of temperature over the course of some amount of time, and a rise being permanent, IE not part of a cycle, you can have both, where it cycles high a low, but the lows are always higher than previous, and the highs are higher than previous)

There seems to be some sort of idea in the general population that scientists disagree with each other on the rise in temperature. The problem is media and politicians over exaggerating the issues. When the public, or astute individuals find out that there is an over exaggeration, the natural reaction is to assume that the entire premise is false. It is more detrimental to exaggerate the situation than it is to quietly make policy to effect it.
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MAJ Deputy Director, Combat Casualty Care Research Program
MAJ (Join to see)
10 y
SGT Chris Birkinbine Well said. As I posted earlier, we should be in a "COOLING" period right now. The stalling in the rate of increase (and that we're still warming regardless) should really give a lot of people pause:

http://phys.org/news/2014-07-global-natural-fluctuation.html
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PO1 Master-at-Arms
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Is it just me, or does everyone around me also hear 'Apocalypse Now' theme song?
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LTC Engineer Officer
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Creating the perception that climate can be controlled is a means by which the advocates of a one-world government are using to persuade nations to surrender partial sovereignty to a global entity.

In 1989, when Russia collapsed and left the US as the only global superpower, I attended Command and General Staff Course with the military. Instructors were Army Reserve Officers from the DC area alphabet soup of acronyms such as the NSA, FBI, CIA etc....

We were given a block of instruction on the coming "one-world government" and signed for secret documents that were closely controlled and collected at the end of the session. We were told that it would happen through international corporations, that we wouldn't know that it happened, that all nations would surrender partial sovereignty to a one-world entity (possibly the UN), that nations would still retain their current governments, and that experiments in a global currency were about to be conducted in Zaire, now the Congo.

The US installed President Mabutuo (misspelled) in Zaire in the 70s, and, he was our man. I watched Zaire, but Mabutuo did not cooperate. He established a national bank and paid government workers and contractors with the national bank currency instead of Central Bank currency. A central bank is similar to the Federal Reserve Bank. All Central Banks are globally connected.

All attempts to depose Mabutuo failed because the people and the government supported him. During the Clinton administration the civil war in Rwanda caused mass migration into Zaire to avoid the slaughter. It destabilized the government, Mabutuo was deposed, and died shortly thereafter of "natural causes", as is the fate of most deposed rulers, and, as is currently happening to rulers deposed as a result of the Arab Spring.

The manufactured crisis of global climate change is the means of getting world governments to voluntarily surrendering partial sovereignty to a one-world entity. If this doesn't work they will try something else.
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MAJ Deputy Director, Combat Casualty Care Research Program
MAJ (Join to see)
10 y
LTC (Join to see) Sir, I used to work in a lab at Washington State University that did some of the first ice core studies back in the late 90s. I can absolutely promise you that nobody there had any political agenda. Some of you talk about climate scientists like civilians talk about military scientific research. These crazy theories that the "government created AIDS" or we're working on "mind control" devices. I work across the street from USAMRIID, do you have any idea how many people over the years have accused us of great conspiracies in biological warfare? I've been working in government/military research for quite a while now and have had some pretty high level meetings - haven't seen any of these great conspiracies, just scientists collecting data and publishing in magazines that anyone can access.
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LTC Engineer Officer
LTC (Join to see)
10 y
I agree. The vast majority of members of any organization are genuinely, and honestly committed to the goals proclaimed by its leaders. That is why some will expose perceived wrongdoing within their organization, even to their own detriment.

However, some will act ignorant of pertinent information. When assigned to a Brigade HQ the Operations Officer would always ask my opinion on various upcoming decisions, but never follow my recommendations. When I confronted him he told me he valued my opinions, but I didn't have all the information he had access to. It was a valuable lesson.

When I commanded a maintenance company one of my lieutenants, in all honesty, accused me to Division HQ of fiscal improprieties. When I investigated, it turned out to be inappropriately diverting soda can refunds to the Unit Fund, which amounted to ~ $3.00 a month. My commander gave me a choice: either I go or he goes.

My point is, gather as much information as possible and confront your immediate leadership before you act.

I worked for a Reserve Unit assigned to the Corps of Engineers in DC for 9 years. When on a tour of the Corps' supercomputer that monitored global weather I asked if global warming was actually happening. The answer was that they could not conclusively verify that global climate was warming.

All this being said, keep in mind that there may be a criminal element in any aspect of an organization; the employees or the leadership.

Thunderbolts.info has some good information on long range global weather.
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LTC Engineer Officer
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Creating the perception that climate can be controlled is a means by which the advocates of a one-world government are using to persuade nations to surrender partial sovereignty to a global entity.

In 1989, when Russia collapsed and left the US as the only global superpower, I attended Command and General Staff Course with the military. Instructors were Army Reserve Officers from the DC area alphabet soup of acronyms such as the NSA, FBI, CIA etc....

We were given a block of instruction on the coming "one-world government" and signed for secret documents that were closely controlled and collected at the end of the session. We were told that it would happen through international corporations, that we wouldn't know that it happened, that all nations would surrender partial sovereignty to a one-world entity (possibly the UN), that nations would still retain their current governments, and that experiments in a global currency were about to be conducted in Zaire, now the Congo.

The US installed President Mabutuo (misspelled) in Zaire in the 70s, and, he was our man. I watched Zaire, but Mabutuo did not cooperate. He established a national bank and paid government workers and contractors with the national bank currency instead of Central Bank currency. A central bank is similar to the Federal Reserve Bank. All Central Banks are globally connected.

All attempts to depose Mabutuo failed because the people and the government supported him. During the Clinton administration the civil war in Rwanda caused mass migration into Zaire to avoid the slaughter. It destabilized the government, Mabutuo was deposed, and died shortly thereafter of "natural causes", as is the fate of most deposed rulers, and, as is currently happening to rulers deposed as a result of the Arab Spring.

The manufactured crisis of global climate change is the means of getting world governments to voluntarily surrendering partial sovereignty to a one-world entity. If this doesn't work they will try something else.
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Maj Jeremy R.
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Predicting climate change requires modeling. Modeling that makes assumptions. Become a student of chaos theory and the butterfly effect. Also take a look at Sir Michael Berry's paper Regular and Irregular Motion where he recounts the amount of data needed to account for the fourth,fifth, sixth...fifty-sixth impact of a ball (think billiards)...our assumptions are assumptions and nothing more. No I don't buy the modeling.
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TSgt Mark Meyer
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I not big on global warning but I did hear somewhere. It doesn't matter what cooler summer or colder winter this year. It the average global tempature. They said the global average temp has risen a degree or two. Is global warming crap or real we should ask myth busters lol.
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SFC Mark Hines
SFC Mark Hines
10 y
You hit the nail right on the head; "global warming crap"!
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SPC(P) Nodal Network Systems Operators/Maintainer
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It doesn't matter if the theory is legitimate or not. We have had cleaner energy technologies for decades. We don't use them because it would take years for them to become cost effective. So, because its to difficult to start now, we won't have the technology available later down the road. Since there doesn't seem to be a solution that anyone is willing to implement, this issue just turns into something we like to argue about but really doesn't matter because no one is bothering to really fix it.
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Sgt Chris Rossini
Sgt Chris Rossini
10 y
MSG Brad Sand
Since 1880 (roughly the time accurate records began being kept) the average air temperature of the Earth has risen 1.53 degrees Fahrenheit. https://www2.ucar.edu/climate/faq/how-much-has-global-temperature-risen-last-100-years.

If you are more of a visual guy, here is a comparison of polar ice cap shrinkage since about 1980. http://climatekids.nasa.gov/review/climate-change-evidence/2007-artic-ice-cap.jpg

If you care to research your own easily attainable "facts" instead of attempting to discredit others without any supporting data of your own, this will help. http://bit.ly/UW20uy
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MSG Brad Sand
MSG Brad Sand
10 y
Sgt Chris Rossini
Here are some facts, historically, warming periods have been good for mankind. Sorry if you want to disagree, but it is true. Second, when the past 'scientific studies' showing warming are reviewed, they do not hold water. Thank you for the picture of the ice cap, but the ice cap, like the weather, is always changing. You attack me for my lack of research, but what studies have you done? I at least noticed that this last year was one of the coldest in memory...but then I am shown how my actually noticing the weather is not important because someone in Finland thought it was really warm? So how long have can we produce verifiable temperature data from Northern Finland? Do Not Ask Questions like that! Just because you can produce data showing it is colder here does not mean it is not actually getting much hotter? 1880 is a nice place to start your comparison…the end of the Little Ice Age. Nice use the last cold period to prove there is now a warming period? Oh, you never checked that before? I guess my study of history makes me uninformed again.
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Sgt Chris Rossini
Sgt Chris Rossini
10 y
MSG Brad Sand As a Minnesotan, I'm painfully aware of how cold last winter was. Trust me, I couldn't wait for the planet to get warmer.

Regarding using 1880 as a start point. I think we can all agree that a valid statistical comparison requires the use of the largest sample size possible. If there were accurate records from 1780 or 1680 or 1880 BC, that is what I would have used. If anything, 134 years is probably too small of a sample size to properly contextualize the temperature change of the Earth.

Your statement that warming periods have been good for mankind is irrelevant to the discussion. At no point have I made any claim of the cause or effect of the warming of the Earth. Simply that our current body of data states that the average air temperature of the Earth has increased by 1.53 degrees Fahrenheit since 1880. If you can produce a (valid) set of data that disproves that statement, I would love to see it.

P.S.- Sorry for the LMGTFY link, that was a bit of a cheap shot.
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MSG Brad Sand
MSG Brad Sand
10 y
Sgt Chris Rossini Chris (hope you don't mind me calling you Chris...if you do, you will get over it...or not?)

I did find it interesting that you thought irrelevant that global warming could be good for mankind, but the reason i drew attention to the date used was because it was the last long term period of cold...which was very bad for most people in the Northern Hemisphere. Coming out of a cold period, you are going to have a temperature rise.
So the question I have is, did you collect this data, or did you take the spoon feeding from someone else? IF you collected the data, why did you elect to use the data at the end of a cold period? If you are taking their data, why would they use data from a documented cold period? Add to this, if we are going to be scientific, we need to use the same collection instruments. I think we can both agree that collection of temperature informaton has improved in the last 250 years.
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