Posted on Dec 23, 2013
LTC Jason Bartlett
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MAJ Joseph Parker
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<p>Good question, MAJ Jason B.: I've been to South Sudan doing "things" professionally from time to time (all I care to say on that). Our military people there now are supposed to be doing a NEO (noncombatant evacuation order). That's just fine! It's their job. </p><p><br></p><p>Our main national interest in South Sudan is mostly to counter intense Chinese interests in what is a LOT of mineral wealth, and to contain Islamic instability from Sudan out of Khartoum.</p><p><br></p><p>The US military isn't ready and never has really been ready for conventional&nbsp;military operations in Africa.&nbsp;There is a small, VERY small, group of US military trained for that&nbsp;region. What's more,&nbsp;senior leadership has no idea how to effectively conduct&nbsp;operations in Africa, so they often botch it unless they listen to that very small group of people who know what they are doing.&nbsp;With deference&nbsp;and no offense meant&nbsp;to AFRICOM, that includes them.&nbsp;</p><p><br></p><p>Hopefully, our government will be prudent enough to evacuate our civilian folks and any military associated with AFRICOM; and then leave the mess to the professionals until it's safe enough to bring back a hardened core of Embassy staff. South Sudan is not worth a fight.</p>
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SSG(P) Casualty Operations Ncoic
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Good to know, sir.&nbsp; Thanks for the info!
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SSG John Mendyka
SSG John Mendyka
11 y
Sir, that is amazing insight. &nbsp;What would be some productive ways for an individual to prepare to go to the region? &nbsp;What are some books to read, web sites to look at, etc?&nbsp;
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SSG(P) Casualty Operations Ncoic
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<p>Sudan has oil and other mineral resources.</p><p><br></p><p>We established AFRICOM for a reason.&nbsp; I hope I am wrong on this, but I foresee a "Gulf of Tonkin" type incident happening in the near future which will suck us into that area on a larger scale.&nbsp; Africa has historically been carved-up by Western powers for their own purposes, causing much of the strife we have been seeing for decades.</p><p><br></p><p>Again, I hope I am wrong on this.</p>
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MAJ Joseph Parker
MAJ Joseph Parker
11 y
<p>SGT(P) Mathew U.: Please see my post. You are correct of some of your facts, but you may be satisfied that hopes will be met: your conclusion is wrong, and I say that without malice toward you and only with great personal experience and professionalism. </p><p>Rest easy this evening: Gloria In Excelsis Deo!</p>
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MAJ Knowledge Management Specialist
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South Sudan? &nbsp;What is our vital national strategic interest in South Sudan? &nbsp;What is the justification for the financial costs and the potential loss of American Soldiers in that place?
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MAJ Joseph Parker
MAJ Joseph Parker
11 y
MAJ William F: Please see my post. You asked exactly the right question! How the National Security Staff answers that question will dictate what the military does. I have worked with Susan Rice quite a bit. She is a very intelligent Africanist, but also a strong partisan when it comes to domestic politics. At the moment this is just a NEO. We do have a number of American companies with significant investments in South Sudan, but I have personally seen Susan tell their CEOs to shut up and sit down when they protested US policies there in the past (she literally said that). If a soldier is lost there, it will probably be protecting an American they are evacuating.
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