New estimates released this week suggest the global impact of the coronavirus pandemic will reach even greater levels of awfulness before 2020 is over: A prominent forecasting team projects that between now and Jan. 1, the virus will kill an additional 1.9 million people worldwide, pushing the total death toll by year's end to above 2.8 million.
But other disease specialists are highly skeptical of that forecast, which comes from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation or IHME. NPR spoke with the head of IHME's team, Chris Murray, as well as two researchers who are not involved with IHME's work: Ashish Jha of Brown University and Kalipso Chalkidou of the Imperial College School of Public Health in London. Here are five takeaways from those interviews: