Posted on Apr 21, 2021
Will there ever be a threefold war between India and Pakistan on the one side, and India against China on the other side?
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A US think-tank has forecast a ‘large-scale war’ between India and Pakistan over the next five years. It has also predicted the possibility of India and China ‘slipping into a conflict’.
India and China began disengaging troops, tanks and artillery from the northern and southern banks of the Pangong Lake on February 10, after a tense nine-month standoff. India and Pakistan agreed to adhere to a 2003 ceasefire on February 24 this year after one of the largest number of border firing incidents over the past year. Tensions between the three nuclear-armed rivals, however, remain mainly over the world’s largest disputed boundary.
The five-year regional outlook was released by the Strategic Futures Group, a think-tank of the National Intelligence Council, on April 7. It warns that India and Pakistan may stumble into a large-scale war neither side wants, ‘especially following a terrorist attack that the Indian Government judges to be significant.’
The report outlines that the ability of Pakistan-based terrorists to conduct attacks, New Delhi’s resolve to punish Islamabad after such an attack and Islamabad’s determination to defend itself are likely to persist and may increase. ‘Miscalculation by both governments could prompt a breakdown in the deterrence that has restricted conflict to levels each side judges it can manage. A full-scale war could inflict damage that would have economic and political consequences for years.’
India and China began disengaging troops, tanks and artillery from the northern and southern banks of the Pangong Lake on February 10, after a tense nine-month standoff. India and Pakistan agreed to adhere to a 2003 ceasefire on February 24 this year after one of the largest number of border firing incidents over the past year. Tensions between the three nuclear-armed rivals, however, remain mainly over the world’s largest disputed boundary.
The five-year regional outlook was released by the Strategic Futures Group, a think-tank of the National Intelligence Council, on April 7. It warns that India and Pakistan may stumble into a large-scale war neither side wants, ‘especially following a terrorist attack that the Indian Government judges to be significant.’
The report outlines that the ability of Pakistan-based terrorists to conduct attacks, New Delhi’s resolve to punish Islamabad after such an attack and Islamabad’s determination to defend itself are likely to persist and may increase. ‘Miscalculation by both governments could prompt a breakdown in the deterrence that has restricted conflict to levels each side judges it can manage. A full-scale war could inflict damage that would have economic and political consequences for years.’
India
China
Pakistan
Conflict
Geopolitics / International Relations
Posted >1 y ago
Responses: 10
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SSG Edward Tilton
India and Pakistan differences are based on the British Colony. China does not recognize those boundaries and considers the Ladak theirs. The election was supposed to be in 1955 under UN supervision. In 1950 the population was overwhelmingly Moslem but the royalty were not. An independent Kashmir elected by the people would have been a Moslem country or part of Pakistan. India has had fifty years to drive moslems out replacing them with indians. The Moslem population are more radical than Pakistan sometimes sheltering Osama bin Laden. There are many options that no one will agree with
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CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
You have misconceived my question SSG Anonymous.
Pakistan and China squeeze India in a war on two imaginary borders, which are two separate fronts created by the British Raj decades ago at the fag end of the reign of the monarchy in India. The Chinese dispute the Macartney - Macdonald Line (the LAC) in eastern Ladakh and Pakistan constantly violates the Sir Cyril Radcliffe Line or the LoC, from Gujrat up to the Siachen Glacier in the western part of India. All three nations are nuclear powers, so how would a regional war involving these three nuclear powers unfold?
Pakistan and China squeeze India in a war on two imaginary borders, which are two separate fronts created by the British Raj decades ago at the fag end of the reign of the monarchy in India. The Chinese dispute the Macartney - Macdonald Line (the LAC) in eastern Ladakh and Pakistan constantly violates the Sir Cyril Radcliffe Line or the LoC, from Gujrat up to the Siachen Glacier in the western part of India. All three nations are nuclear powers, so how would a regional war involving these three nuclear powers unfold?
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When India became Independent, KASHMIR, was an exception. The population was 80% Moslem while the royalty were Hindu. Both India and Pakistan were using the British map in the Ladak while China had their own boundary. There was SUPPOSED TO BE a supervised election in 1955 but India refused and sealed it off. India was trying to get any Moslems or Asians to leave while subsidizing Indian settlement. They didn’t do all that well and neither China or Pakistan have gone away. Other than Kashmiri independence I know of no solution
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