Posted on Aug 11, 2015
SSgt Alex Robinson
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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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Our POTUS is playing chicken with a madman who is far more dangerous than ISIS. Who would go into a Lion's cage and poke that Lion?
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1SG Civil Affairs Specialist
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No, it will go the other way. Russia is very reliant on petroleum, gas, and mineral extraction for much of its budget. Unfortunately for them, much of this wealth is locked away in far-flung and difficult to reach locations. They need this money in order to rebuild and update their military which had been neglected for decades.
For the home audience, Putin will propagandize that it is the "west's" fault, if only to divert attention away from his disastrous policies.
I noticed that Russia has been very cozy with Iran of late, no doubt looking forward to some arms trade once that embargo is lifted.
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SSgt Alex Robinson
SSgt Alex Robinson
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1SG (Join to see) because the natural resources are so far removed and difficult to get to would that not make them more apt to go for the low hanging fruit elsewhere?
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1SG Civil Affairs Specialist
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SSgt Alex Robinson, the fruit ain't so low.
One underreported reason why the Russians suddenly were interested in Crimea is the oil deposits found offshore in the past decade. Exploratory wells were just recently sunk, and looked promising. Considering the perennial jousts that Russia had with Europe over natural gas shipments, the thought that one of their client states might get independent or worse, compete with them in the same market was intolerable for them.
All it cost them was the value of their currency and a bunch of sanctions that scared off foreign investors. Doh.
They might be uppity, but they aren't going to poke NATO.
More likely they look south and get friendly with Iran, a pipe dream in Russia since Peter the Great. To try to do the same thing by force, Russia would relearn just how miserably their military fares in an Afghanistan-like quagmire.
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SSgt Alex Robinson
SSgt Alex Robinson
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Thanks for your input 1SG (Join to see)
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