Posted on Jun 27, 2016
COL President
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The "British Exit" from the European Union has created turmoil in the financials markets... but what does this really mean to regional security?
Posted in these groups: NATO872a0ff National Security
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SSG Program Control Manager
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Edited >1 y ago
NATO dominates the region, Russia may wish it could counter NATO influence in the region... however that ship has sailed. Their equivalent security organization formerly referred to as the Warsaw pact, is history. Warsaw, is now in a NATO country... East Germany is now Germany, and they are now completely surrounded by NATO with only a few exceptions.

Russia may still decide to bluster... however, that's really all they could do when Turkey shot down one of their fighter jets. Almost a year later, Turkey finally tells Russia they apologize... Doesn't sound like to me like Turkey or anyone else (other than some Eastern Ukrainians) are shaking in their boots about Russia.
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SN Greg Wright
SN Greg Wright
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I mostly agree with you, but I certainly think that Russia is a far greater threat than China is.
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SSG Program Control Manager
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SN Greg Wright - I'm not sure "threat" is the right word to use... are they a competitor on the world stage for economic power, natural resources and political influence? Yes, of course... however the cold war is still over and I'm not in favor of trying to start it up again.

On a side note... when you look back at WW2 and who bore the brunt of the casualties during that war... it's interesting to note that it was Russia (roughly 27 million) and China (roughly 20 million). Imagine for a moment you are either Russian or Chinese and of a nationalistic bent, are you really going to be comfortable about NATO dominance in Eastern Europe or being a major regional power in the Pacific?
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COL President
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I believe that Russia will use it to further destabilize he region and create financial uncertainty in general.
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SSG Program Control Manager
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COL (Join to see) - I believe they are likely to try and cozy up to the EU if the UK actually winds up leaving it. There is a lot more for them to gain by demonizing the US and the UK while courting the EU. It's the best way to turn the NATO buildup on their borders into a political advantage.
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CPT Jack Durish
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I suppose it might if the EU actually represented a military power. To be fair, I don't think they could have mounted a defense any better than they managed an economy.
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SN Greg Wright
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I don't see how. None of the materiel or personnel is disappearing.
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