Do you think a computer can predict election results?

We can hope. I'm more concerned at the moment with who the nominees will be.

Can a gypsy see your future in a glass orb??

Plotting statistical probabilities is not an efficient way to judge an election. People often vote on emotions, not facts. The folks that vote on a party line won't change their vote, but they might not show up to the polls. Swing voters are succeptable to a different trend: the October Surprise.