Posted on Apr 21, 2016
The New York Primary: Why Trump’s win is worth more than Hillary’s win.
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What's funny is that this article conspicuously (and I suspect intentionally, in order to goose up the "horse race" narrative of both primaries) ignores the actual reason why Trump's win in New York was more substantial than Clinton's -- because the former actually changed the dynamics of the Republican race while the latter didn't for the Democrats.
The results of New York effectively eliminated the possibility of a decisive Ted Cruz victory by the time the Republican convention rolls out in Cleveland. It is literally mathematically impossible at this point for him to do so. Now the only two possible outcomes are 1) Trump attains an outright majority of pledged delegates after the final Republican primary is held (a long shot but not impossible) or 2) they all go to a brokered convention. That is a HUGE deal, because before April 19th Senator Cruz was the last Republican candidate within striking distance of Donald Trump. Now Trump's claim on being "the people's choice" for the Republican nomination are stronger than ever before, and the calls to coalesce around him as the convention nears will only get louder since no other Republican running can plausibly challenge his frontrunner status anymore.
What did the results of New York change for the Democrats? Nothing, really. Hillary Clinton went into her home state with a massive lead in pledged delegates and the popular vote and... left the state with a massive lead in pledged delegates and the popular vote. Though she won't get to the magic 2,383 delegate majority until probably June, the truth is Clinton has had this nomination sewn up since Super Tuesday.
The results of New York effectively eliminated the possibility of a decisive Ted Cruz victory by the time the Republican convention rolls out in Cleveland. It is literally mathematically impossible at this point for him to do so. Now the only two possible outcomes are 1) Trump attains an outright majority of pledged delegates after the final Republican primary is held (a long shot but not impossible) or 2) they all go to a brokered convention. That is a HUGE deal, because before April 19th Senator Cruz was the last Republican candidate within striking distance of Donald Trump. Now Trump's claim on being "the people's choice" for the Republican nomination are stronger than ever before, and the calls to coalesce around him as the convention nears will only get louder since no other Republican running can plausibly challenge his frontrunner status anymore.
What did the results of New York change for the Democrats? Nothing, really. Hillary Clinton went into her home state with a massive lead in pledged delegates and the popular vote and... left the state with a massive lead in pledged delegates and the popular vote. Though she won't get to the magic 2,383 delegate majority until probably June, the truth is Clinton has had this nomination sewn up since Super Tuesday.
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CPT Jack Durish
That's a very astute analysis LT. It's a shame the media won't say as much but then, that wouldn't fit their proscribed narrative, would it?
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