What will the similarities be to WWI following the assassination of the Russian Ambassador to Turkey?

LTC Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 20 Dec 2016 02:04:55 -0500

World War I began due to a web a entangling alliances after the Grand Duke of Austria Hungary was assassinated by the Black Hand. Are there entangling alliances now as the Russian Ambassador to Turkey is killed by a supporter of those in Aleppo?

Response by Capt Seid Waddell made Dec 20 at 2016 3:40 AM

Capt Seid Waddell — Tue, 20 Dec 2016 03:40:58 -0500

No, this will just be one more bump in the road.

Response by SGT David A. 'Cowboy' Groth made Dec 20 at 2016 7:40 AM

SGT David A. 'Cowboy' Groth — Tue, 20 Dec 2016 07:40:49 -0500

Hopefully none, there will probably be some retaliation incurred though.

Response by COL Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 20 at 2016 8:07 AM

COL Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 20 Dec 2016 08:07:03 -0500

Fortunately, these days Russia does not have much in the way of allies to get all tangled up with. I am interested to see where Russia goes with this, though.

Response by SSG Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 20 at 2016 9:24 AM

SSG Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 20 Dec 2016 09:24:01 -0500

If Putin decided to send the Russian military into Turkey the rest of NATO would be obligated to roll in too in defense of Turkey.

Response by LCDR Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 20 at 2016 12:27 PM

LCDR Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 20 Dec 2016 12:27:41 -0500

A model to look at is the abduction of the Soviet ambassador to Lebanon. http://articles.latimes.com/1986-01-07/news/mn-13892_1_soviets

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Response by PO1 William "Chip" Nagel made Dec 20 at 2016 2:49 PM

PO1 William "Chip" Nagel — Tue, 20 Dec 2016 14:49:07 -0500

None, As You did a Great Job of Citing the "Entangling Alliances with the Austro Hungarian Empire with Germany and the Ottoman Empire Vs Everybody Else. We don't have Monarchs that are all related anymore (WWI Nastiest Family Fight Ever). I'm in Agreement with LCDR Private RallyPoint Member You will probably see some Retribution by the FSB.

Response by Sgt John Steinmeier made Dec 21 at 2016 1:39 PM

Sgt John Steinmeier — Wed, 21 Dec 2016 13:39:50 -0500

In my opinion nothing significant will come of it. It is possible that some ISIS hierarchy and Anti-Assad hierarchy may disappear off the face of the earth. Russia though a regional power doesn't appear to have the capability for prolonged combat operations outside of their European sphere of influence.

Response by SFC Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 24 at 2016 1:47 AM

SFC Private RallyPoint Member — Sat, 24 Dec 2016 01:47:11 -0500

This is not even a case of apple and oranges. This is more like comparing an apple to a 1972 Cadillac. There is simply no comparison between the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand, heir of the Austro-Hungarian throne, and one of Russia's many ambassadors. A World War will not break out, it won't even strain international relationships because Andrei Karlov is simply not that important of a character in the grand scheme of politics.

Response by LTC Private RallyPoint Member made Jan 4 at 2017 1:58 AM

LTC Private RallyPoint Member — Wed, 04 Jan 2017 01:58:13 -0500

Well, I guess I got the responses that I deserved for asking a theoretical half-cocked question.
I see the web being a lot more tangled now with NATO alliances, turkey as a member of NATO, the coup in Turkey, Russian annexation of Crimea, Russian aggression in Ukraine, Russian thread towards the balkans, and a plethora of other things than it has been recently and for those entangling circumstances is why I thought there might be a vague similarity to the starting of WWI.
I know full well that we will likely never have a conflict on that scale again, mainly due to the political masters being adverse to high casualties.