Marshawn Lynch: Would he have won the game on that last play?

SSG Private RallyPoint Member — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 14:58:49 -0400

Response by SPC Patrick Caldwell made Apr 16 at 2015 3:11 PM

SPC Patrick Caldwell — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 15:11:14 -0400

Before my comment, let me say that I'm a Patriots' fan but I'm not going to bring bias into this.

There's a good 90% chance he would have scored if handed the ball, but I dare someone to say he "would have" scored. In the words of Skip Bayless, "I'll give you probably, but I won't give you definitely."

Lynch was successful once out of five attempts from the 1-yard line during the 2014 season, and he had been stopped on 3rd-and-1 previously in the game. It's not like it would have been impossible, but I will give Marshawn Lynch credit because he's perhaps the hardest back to bring down. He deserves to be called the best when it comes to the power-back category.

On a side note, Lynch was fairly open on the left side of the field following the snap. Akeem Ayers was shading him but Lynch would have been able to make a catch on a fade during that last play on the 1. Luke Willson was drawing coverage away from him, as well.

Response by SFC Michael Jackson, MBA made Apr 16 at 2015 3:24 PM

SFC Michael Jackson, MBA — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 15:24:27 -0400

Throughout the season, Marshawn was 1 of 5 attempts from the 1 yard line. Meaning, you only proved he could it 20% of the time. With the everyone in the stadium looking to him to get the ball, there's a good chance he doesn't get it and they get pushed back. Trying to score with the game on the line against a stacked box is not a given he would succeed.

Response by SSG Private RallyPoint Member made Apr 16 at 2015 3:32 PM

SSG Private RallyPoint Member — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 15:32:46 -0400

Your awareness is amazing. Didn't see that.

Response by MSG Private RallyPoint Member made Apr 16 at 2015 9:08 PM

MSG Private RallyPoint Member — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 21:08:42 -0400

No. They expected the run and loaded up the box. I know hes beast mode and it was two yards away, but they would have stuffed it with Wilfork right there.

Response by SFC Stephen King made Apr 16 at 2015 9:15 PM

SFC Stephen King — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 21:15:54 -0400

Probability and statistical looking at 1 single event a 1 player on the team regardless of "Beast" Mode. I ask would the line block the defense? However, given the fact that his atg yards per carry 4.7. 50-50

Response by Cpl Tou Lee Yang made Apr 17 at 2015 2:28 AM

Cpl Tou Lee Yang — Fri, 17 Apr 2015 02:28:28 -0400

No doubt Lynch would had scored, he would have had 3 chances to score. Seattle would've been Champion instead of the cheating Patriots.