If Marco Rubio doesnt win his home State of Florida on March 15th, will that have a Negative Impact on his Poltical Career?

2016-03-09T15:46:46-05:00

Senator Marco Rubio didn't pick up any delegates Yesterday! He is banking on his home state of Florida to Revive his Campaign. However, he is trailing in the Polls there! Why is he still in the Race at this Point? What will be the repercussions of his future political career if he loses his home state?

Response by LTC Private RallyPoint Member made Mar 9 at 2016 4:05 PM

2016-03-09T16:05:49-05:00

I believe that if he bows out now he will not have the backing of his "home" state going forward, but if he comes home and then loses he can work to revive it in due time.
My thoughts were that he is a good VP candidate for John Kasich.

Response by CW4 Guy Butler made Mar 9 at 2016 4:07 PM

2016-03-09T16:07:45-05:00

I'm thinking you didn't hear that he's not running for reelection to the Senate... If he drops out of the Presidential race, he's done for an election cycle.

Response by MSgt James Mullis made Mar 9 at 2016 4:21 PM

2016-03-09T16:21:09-05:00

In the long run it would have a minimal (or no effect at all) on his career. Even if he loses outright, he's a young party favorite and the GOP has a history of rewarding what they see as good behavior.

Marco, and the rest of the remaining establishment candidates primary goal is not to win by a majority, but to leech off as many delegates as they can from Donald Trump. He still has a shot at the nomination in a contested convention or he can leverage his delegates for a VP selection.

Response by COL Jean (John) F. B. made Mar 9 at 2016 4:40 PM

2016-03-09T16:40:45-05:00

SPC Andrew Griffin If he loses in Florida, it will negatively impact his aspirations to be Governor of Florida (which is his second choice after President, or, maybe, third, after Vice President). As he has no chance of being the nominee for President, his best bet is to fold his tent and go home.

Response by SPC George Rudenko made Mar 9 at 2016 4:50 PM

2016-03-09T16:50:55-05:00

If he loses home state, he is done in politics.

Response by PO3 Steven Sherrill made Mar 9 at 2016 5:02 PM

2016-03-09T17:02:58-05:00

SPC Andrew Griffin I will start by saying outright that I do not think that Rubio will win Florida. Second he does not have a real, solid path to the nomination. He is too far behind, too late in the game. If he wants a political future, then he should cut his losses now, withdraw, build his support base, and try again in four years. The way it is going now, the Republicans need to be thinking about four years from now. They may well be already doing so. Donald Trump as the front runner is expendable. He is not a part of the party base. He can be run as a token candidate, conceding Hillary's coronation, then hit hard in four years making her a one termer. Of course that would be predicated on the nation not tearing itself apart over the next four years which it may well do. Going back to the original question, if Rubio, stays in, and loses badly, he is finished. He becomes the presidential candidate that cannot even convince the voters in his own state that he deserves the promotion from Senator to President. That stigma will stay with him, ending his political career. Not just President, but it would likely cost him re-election to his senate seat. That would leave him on the outside looking in for the 2020 cycle. On the other hand if he withdraws, throws his support behind the candidate, and bides his time, he could be the candidate in four years. Then he would just have to beat HRC in the general election. Let's wait and see where his pride leads him. Pride is the only thing keeping him in the race. With each primary he falls further behind Cruz and Trump.

Response by SPC James Dollins made Mar 9 at 2016 5:13 PM

2016-03-09T17:13:31-05:00

I think it will. That would literally be a NO CONFIDENCE vote for him realistically.

Response by TSgt Kenneth Ellis made Mar 9 at 2016 5:34 PM

2016-03-09T17:34:44-05:00

It's a calculated risk. Some say it's better if he stayes. And Deny Trump the victory. As well as Kasich in Ohio.

Response by SSgt Jim Gilmore made Mar 10 at 2016 6:12 AM

2016-03-10T06:12:58-05:00

At this point he has to go all in in an attempt to keep alive in the race for the GOP nomination. If he loses Florida to Trump it could be all over but the shouting...