For the New Year, where do you predict military conflict? Where do you predict US military involvement?

2019-01-02T14:50:17-05:00

This will be interesting to see for next New Years.

Response by GySgt Charles O'Connell made Jan 2 at 2019 3:30 PM

2019-01-02T15:30:54-05:00

Right now my bet is on China. Their military build up in the South China Sea, coupled with their recent noises about bringing Taiwan back into the fold should have the Intel folks spending sleepless nights. Also there is the potential, at least in my opinion, of a China backed, albeit subtle backing, overthrow of the DPRK, replacing it with one more stable and China friendly, and by China friendly I mean a government that will readily carry out orders from Bejing. One that can make the reunification of the peninsula more palatable to the ROK, but will ultimately allow China bring Korea under it's sphere of influence/domination, giving them far greater power in the Pacific rim.

Will this provoke a U.S. Military response? Much depends on who occupies the White House at the time. A military response would require a coalition of forces in the region, ROK/AUS/Japan.

Worst case scenario is, while a U.S. led coalition is occupied in the Pacific, Russia seizes the opportunity to create its own special brand of havoc, their containment will rely on NATO partners to step up. Iran could react by making a play for dominance in the Middle East, no help coming there.

Further instability created by increased migrant/refugee movement into Western Europe.

Best case scenario....Everyone learns to play nice.

Response by SSgt GG-15 RET Jim Lint made Jan 2 at 2019 3:43 PM

2019-01-02T15:43:14-05:00

MSgt Stephen Council LTC Stephen Conway LTC Stephan Porter LTC Stephen Curlee Lt Col Jim Coe 1stSgt Jim Senn SSgt GG-15 RET Jim Lint SGT Jim Arnold CPO Nate Szejniuk SGT Keith Bodine SGT Michael Thorin SGT Randal Groover Sgt Randy Wilber SCPO Morris Ramsey LTC Greg Henning SGT Gregory Lawritson 1stSgt Glenn Brackin SFC Francisco Rosario MAJ William Frobe LTC Frank Di Muccio

Response by SGT Private RallyPoint Member made Jan 2 at 2019 5:40 PM

2019-01-02T17:40:17-05:00

I think that's not predictable. Too many variables to account for in trying to foretell future events. I think the dangerous places are Korea, the Middle East, the Transcaucasus region, and Ukraine.

But, I'll give it a shot (tongue-in-cheek):
There will be an argument between dependents over a parking space at the Schofield Barracks PX next Tuesday at 1630. SGT Smith and PFC Jones, (Military Police), will respond and waste several minutes of lifetime sorting it out and defusing the situation and as a direct result, by the time they get to Anthony's Pizza, there will no Combination slices left for sale so they will instead opt to go to Burger King.