Do you think a computer can predict election results?

2015-10-18T10:09:39-04:00

http://fortune.com/2015/10/15/computer-white-house-winner/

A Computer Just Predicted This Party Will Win the White House in 2016

Likely more accurate than polling data.

Response by 1SG Private RallyPoint Member made Oct 18 at 2015 10:33 AM

2015-10-18T10:33:24-04:00

Plotting statistical probabilities is not an efficient way to judge an election. People often vote on emotions, not facts. The folks that vote on a party line won't change their vote, but they might not show up to the polls. Swing voters are succeptable to a different trend: the October Surprise.

Response by SSgt Private RallyPoint Member made Oct 18 at 2015 10:40 AM

2015-10-18T10:40:41-04:00

Warren Buffett is a dick... of course he would say that or maybe... he knows something we don't.

Response by MSG Private RallyPoint Member made Oct 18 at 2015 10:43 AM

2015-10-18T10:43:50-04:00

We can hope. I'm more concerned at the moment with who the nominees will be.

Response by Cpl Private RallyPoint Member made Oct 18 at 2015 11:01 AM

2015-10-18T11:01:21-04:00

Although those results sound great (depending on the nominee), I'd be more worried about the political affiliation of the owners and programmers of those computers and the electronic voting machines. He who owns/writes the code can manipulate the results.

Response by SSG Private RallyPoint Member made Oct 18 at 2015 11:05 AM

2015-10-18T11:05:28-04:00

Can a gypsy see your future in a glass orb??

Response by SSG Ed Mikus made Oct 18 at 2015 11:46 AM

2015-10-18T11:46:14-04:00

Well if you look at that computers are used to target audiences as to who to send advertisements and messages to by analyzing your meta data from your internet use. then computers can probably predict who you are likely to vote for do that on a larger scale and they can predict to a over 90% of Americans will vote for their for yes.

Response by SSG Ed Mikus made Oct 18 at 2015 11:47 AM

2015-10-18T11:47:57-04:00

Any 4th grader could have predicted a Republican will win.

Response by SN Greg Wright made Oct 18 at 2015 1:15 PM

2015-10-18T13:15:59-04:00

SSgt Alex Robinson Computers can predict anything, given enough information. And while that statement seems innocuous enough on the face of it, 'enough information' is the big white elephant in the room.

Response by LCpl Mark Lefler made Oct 18 at 2015 3:49 PM

2015-10-18T15:49:40-04:00

not so sure, i think there is a human factor computers can't account for.

Response by SGT Jerrold Pesz made Oct 18 at 2015 8:30 PM

2015-10-18T20:30:33-04:00

Computer models are created by people and as a result they reflect the biases of the people who created them.

Response by CPT Private RallyPoint Member made Nov 26 at 2015 11:07 AM

2015-11-26T11:07:30-05:00

Yes and it will get smarter and faster each year. It really depends on how much data the computer receives. It can observe Facebook and twitter trends, polls, and other sources. It may take awhile, but it can happen.